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US Q3 GDP (second estimate) +2.8 vs +2.8% expected

Advance Q3 reading was +2.8% annualizedFinal Q2 reading was +3.0% annualized

Details:

Consumer spending +3.5% vs +3.7% advance Consumer spending on durables +8.1%GDP final sales +3.0% vs +3.0% advanceGDP deflator +1.9% vs +1.8% advanceCore PCE +2.1% vs +2.2% advance Business investment (nonresidential fixed investment) +% vs +3.3% advancePCE services inflation excluding energy and housing +2.6% vs +2.6% advanceCorporate profits prelim 0.0%Personal saving rate 4.3% vs 4.8% advance

Contributors and subtractors to the 2.8% growth, in percentage points:

Consumption: +2.37 pp vs +2.46 pp advanceGovernment: +0.83 pp vs +0.85 pp advanceNet International trade: -0.57 pp vs -0.56 pp advanceInventories: -0.11 pp vs -0.17 pp advance

The changes in this revision are immaterial. It’s a healthy economy that’s being led by consumption, though the revision lower in the savings rate is a bit worrisome, as are some of the comments from retailers in earnings reports recently.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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