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ECB cuts key rates by 25 bps in June monetary policy decision, as expected

  • Prior decision
  • Deposit facility rate 2.00% vs 2.00% expected
  • Prior 2.25%
  • Main refinancing rate 2.15% vs 2.15% expected
  • Prior 2.40%
  • Marginal lending facility 2.50%
  • Prior 2.65%
  • Inflation is currently at around the 2% medium-term target
  • Most measures of underlying inflation suggest that inflation will settle at around 2% target
  • ECB will follow a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach to determine appropriate policy stance
  • ECB is not pre-committing to a particular rate path
  • Headline inflation is set to average 2.0% in 2025, 1.6% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027
  • Core inflation is set to average 2.4% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026 and 2027
  • Real GDP growth is seen averaging 0.9% in 2025, 1.1% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027
  • Full statement

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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