The headlines are stating that Iran’s top negotiator, also parliament speaker, Ghalibaf and foreign minister Araghchi are in Doha to meet with Qatar’s prime minister over a potential deal to end the conflict. Again, I would be remiss if I didn’t point out that “potential deal to end the conflict” doesn’t exactly mean a final deal between both sides. This is all merely alluding towards a peace treaty as part of a broader framework agreement or memorandum of understanding.
Reuters also reports that the discussions in Doha will center around the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium. Adding to that, Iran’s central bank governor will also be attending the meeting to discuss the potential release of frozen funds as part of an eventual final US-Iran deal.
Again, it’s important to read between the lines. Both sides are now negotiating some broader terms as part of an initial agreement/deal before proceeding with nuclear discussions. While it may seem positive, those terms when put together may not necessarily stick.
Think of it as the US and Iran know exactly what pieces of the jigsaw puzzle that they want from each other to complete the picture. However, those exact pieces may not fit together and match well to fill in the empty gaps at the end of the day.
I made a more detailed post on that earlier here: How close are we actually to a US-Iran endgame?
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
