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Australian final manufacturing PMI for June plunges further into contraction @ 47.2

The final June reading is 47.2, the lowest in 3 months and the fifth month in a row in contraction

the preliminary was 47.5May was 49.7

Some of the comments from the report:

manufacturing
sector’s key activity indicators have softened to the cyclical
lows seen earlier in the yearManufacturers are marginally
scaling back production through reduced headcounts
and inventories in response to prolonged difficult trading
conditions in the sectoremployment index dipped back below the neutral level.
Manufacturers, on average, have been gradually reducing
headcounts throughout 2024margin
pressures in the manufacturing sector appear to be picking
up. The input price index climbed significantly to 58.4 in June,
which, while slightly down on the prior month, is above the
average reading of 56.0 seen over the first four months of
the year. The rise in input price pressures doesn’t appear to
have been passed onto consumers, with the output price
index remaining subdued at cyclical lows in June.

Ugly results from this survey continue. After last week’s … well, ugly CPI:

4.1% vs 3.8% prior

the prospects of another Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate hike loom:

The surprising uptick in inflation, coupled with fiscal stimulus measures and the RBA’s current policy bias, strengthens the case

The next RBA meeting is on 5–6 August. We get official, quarterly, CPI data on July 31 ahead of that. The CPI data I just quoted above is the monthly reading for May 2024. The monthly CPI data from Australia does not show all components of the CPI, that’ll have to wait for the quarterly data release.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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