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Australian jobs report due 15 August 2024, the unemployment rate will not be 10.1%

The Australian labour market report is due at 11.30 am Sydney time

0130 GMT2130 US Eastern time (on Wednesday)

The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.1%.

Yesterday a private survey from, Roy Morgan, published their July unemployment report:

‘Real’ unemployment rate surges to 10.1% (up 1.8 percentage points)Total unemployed reaches 1,597,000 (highest since August 2023)Part-time employment plummets by 176,000 to 4,765,000Overall employment drops by 152,000 to 14,155,000Combined unemployment and underemployment rate spikes to 19.8% (up 2.5 percentage points)

Key takeaways:

Post-mid-year sales slump hits part-time jobs hardFull-time employment sees marginal gain (+24,000)Labor market struggling to absorb rapid population growthRoy Morgan figures significantly higher than official ABS unemployment rate of 4.1%

The report adds:

Roy Morgan’s unemployment figure of 10.1% is clearly more than double the ABS estimate of 4.1% for June but is approaching the combined ABS unemployment and under-employment figure of 10.6%.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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