ECBs Lagarde:
- Inflation and policy are in a good place
She adds:
- Completing her term is my baseline.
Lagarde’s current term as President of the European Central Bank runs through October 2027. Last week, she said her baseline intention is to complete her full term and remain focused on delivering price stability and policy continuity (Click HERE).
Speculation about an early departure has surfaced recently, with reports suggesting that. The discussion is tied partly to the political calendar — specifically the 2027 French presidential election — and the potential influence over naming her successor. An earlier exit could shape the timing and dynamics of the next ECB leadership transition.
ECB officials have indicated they have no confirmation of any early resignation plans, and Lagarde herself has not formally signaled an intention to leave before 2027. However, she has also avoided issuing an absolute denial, which has kept speculation alive.
From a market perspective, the key issue is continuity. Any sign of an early exit could introduce uncertainty around the ECB’s policy path, leadership direction, and the balance of influence among member states. For now, the official stance remains that she intends to serve through the end of her term, but the political backdrop means the topic will likely remain part of the broader European policy conversation.
EURUSD Technicals
EURUSD is holding above the 1.1765–1.1778 swing area, but price action around the 100-hour moving average at 1.1798 reflects indecision. The pair continues to trade back and forth around that level, signaling a lack of clear short-term conviction from either side.
On the topside, the next key hurdle comes at 1.1830, where the 50% midpoint of the 2026 trading range converges with the 200-hour moving average (1.18301). That confluence zone is critical. A sustained break above it would strengthen the bullish bias and shift momentum more firmly toward the buyers.
On the downside, a move below the 1.17653 swing low would tilt control back to the sellers and open the door toward the double bottom near 1.1742 from last Thursday and Friday.
In short, the 100-hour MA is the near-term pivot, with 1.1830 as resistance and 1.1765 as key support defining the range.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
