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Fed’s Kugler: I continue to support maintaining rate if upside inflation risks remain

  • Front-loading of imports makes judging economic activity difficult
  • Expects reversal of import surge in the coming months to signal larger price increases
  • Non-traditional data says might be seeing some moderation in growth but not a significant slowdown
  • Core services inflation still above pre-pandemic rate, progress on core goods has reversed
  • Warn notices of layoffs have ticked up since the start of the year, as have layoff mentions in Beige Book

She sounds cautious on the economy but still not in a rush to cut rates.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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