US firms optimism in China has fallen to its lowest level everJPMorgan still expects a 50bp Federal Reserve interest rate cut next weekJapan wholesale inflation dipped due to lower commodity prices and a stronger yen – recap250bp of “shock and awe” rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve does not seem warrantedAustralia inflation expectations are slowly, slowly chipping lower, still way above targetPBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 7.1214 (vs. estimate at 7.1219)BOJ’s Tamura says expects a gradual path for interest rate hikesCiti moves underweight equitiesFormer Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Fraser says the RBA should cut its cash rateJapan Business Survey Index for Q3 2024 4.5% (prior -1.0%)Japan PPI (August) -0.2% m/m (expected +0.0%) and +2.5% y/y (expected +2.8%)UK pay awards drop to lowest level in two yearsHousing market in UK shows signs of recovery – RICS house price best since January 2020Reuters Japan Corporate Survey – firms wary of 50bp interest rate riseNew Zealand retail sales data (August) +0.2% m/m and -2.9% y/yNew Zealand data – Food Price Index (August) +0.2% m/m (prior +0.4%)Atlanta Fed President Bostic violated Federal Reserve trading rulesNorth Korea fires ballistic missile toward East Sea (Sea of Japan)Chinese car industry is still struggling, car sales -5% y/y in August (prior -5.2%)Nomura forecasts a 25bp cut by the European Central Bank today, Thursday, September 12Citi are forecasting two 50bp interest rate cuts from the US Federal ReserveForexlive Americas FX news wrap 11 Sep: US CPI data is mixed with core risingICYMI – Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon said still a chance the Federal Reserve cut by 50bpTrade ideas thread – Thursday, 12 September, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
Bank
of Japan policy board member Naoki Tamura spoke
today, delivering a hawkish (for the BoJ) outlook. Tamura said
Japan’s neutral rate is likely to be around 1% at the minimum but
softened that by saying the path there would be a long one. There
is more in the linked post above.
USD/JPY
dropped from highs above 142.90 to under 142.25 (briefly). As I
update its sitting just below 142.50.
Also
from Japan today were data for August PPI. These showed lower
inflation pressures (see bullets above), slowing for the first time in eight months.
News
flow was very light otherwise while the data calendar held lower tier
releases only.
EUR/USD
tracked sideways ahead of today’s European Central Bank
meeting. There is a preview above.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.