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MUFG warn that the yen could turn back around again and fall – eyes on BOJ

JPY has been the outperformer, surging against the USD. Analysts at MUFG Bank are a little wary though:

Japanese politicians are nervous about the snail’s pace of monetary policy normalizationyen’s weakness, along with Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party leadership election in September are factors favouring a rate rise next week, not waiting until laterMUFG expect a 15 basis-point rate rise“If the BOJ does not raise rates next week as we expect, the yen is likely to quickly [fall] back to recent lows putting pressure back on Japan to intervene again”

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The Bank of Japan meet on July 30 and 31.

USD/JPY update:

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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