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Williams: Policy is in a good place and the FEd has time

  • The labor market has proved to be resilient
  • We want to get an idea of what the tariff policies will be
  • Things are in a good place
  • It’s hard to speculate what the Fed will do
  • If the economy weakens more than expected it would call for deeper rate cuts
  • The details on tariffs do matter for the economic impacts
  • Trade policies are very-much in flux
  • The US consumer never lets us down
  • There was some front-loading ahead of tariffs
  • Monetary policy is modestly restrictive right now

Earlier he said:

  • Markets appear convinced Fed will get inflation back to 2%
  • Markets are very focused on downside risks right now
  • The factors still keeping the long run neutral rate low are still in place
  • Expects growth to slow considerably, inflation and unemployment to be higher
  • Expects growth to slow considerably, inflation and unemployment to be higher

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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