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Australian June CPI 3.8% y/y vs +4.0% expected

  • CPI m/m -0.1% vs +0.2% expected
  • June trimmed mean 3.6% y/y vs 3.7% expected
  • Australian Q2 CPI 4.0% y/y vs +4.1% expected
  • Prior was 4.1%
  • CPI q/q +0.6% vs +0.7% expected (prior was +1.4%)
  • RBA trimmed mean 3.6% y/y vs 3.7% expected
  • RBA weighted mean 3.6% y/y vs 3.7% expected

These are slightly cool numbers right across the board and will unwind the modest expectations for a near term rate hike. This is an opportunity for the RBA to sit back and watch for what’s next. In terms of pricing, the market now sees just a 4% chance of a hike in August.

AUD is down modestly on the release.

This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

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