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Fundamental Overview The uncertainty about a December cut has been weighing on the stock market ever since Powell delivered his infamous line saying that a December cut was not a foregone conclusion. The lack of official US data and cautious stance from Fed members didn’t help either. On Friday though, Fed’s Williams suggested that he […]

The major European equity indices ended the session with mixed results, with France’s CAC and Italy’s FTSE MIB finishing in negative territory while Germany and Spain posted gains. Germany’s DAX rose 0.70% to 23,253.09, but the index continues to trade below its 200-day moving average at 23,472.30. A break above that long-term barometer would be

As per his latest post on Truth Social: “Despite the massive amount of money being made by the United States of America, Hundreds of Billions of Dollars, as a direct result of Tariffs being charged to other countries, the full benefit of the Tariffs has not yet been calculated in that many of the buyers

Fundamental Overview The uncertainty about a December cut has been weighing on the stock market ever since Powell delivered his infamous line saying that a December cut was not a foregone conclusion. The lack of official US data and cautious stance from Fed members didn’t help either. On Friday though, Fed’s Williams suggested that he

Shares of Microsoft have been retreating after failing to take out the July all-time high at $555.45 at the end of October. At that time, the rally stalled again just shy of that mark at $553.72, and the inability to print a new high proved to be an early technical warning. The rejection at the

This story here on Friday helped to lift the market mood but as a caveat, it’s been one that has made it in and out of the headlines for quite a number of months already. But in a time when the market is desperately looking for something to cling onto, that was enough to at

U.S. stock futures are trading higher in premarket trading as investors increase bets on a December rate cut and react to major AI news. Major Tech & AI Movers Alphabet (GOOGL): 4.25% The stock is rallying after reports that Google has overtaken Microsoft in market capitalization, reclaiming its spot as the second-most valuable company. Investors

Fundamental Overview The uncertainty about a December cut has been weighing on bitcoin ever since Powell delivered his infamous line saying that a December cut was not a foregone conclusion. The lack of official US data and cautious stance from Fed members didn’t help either. Given the overstretched positioning in risk assets and the higher

The EURUSD is moving lower after a failed break above the 100-hour MA at 1.15397 and the swing area between 1.1541 and 1.1546. Buyers couldn’t hold the move, shifting the bias back to the downside as failed breaks often do. The pair is now rotating toward the Friday close at 1.1512, with the session low

Eurostoxx +0.6% Germany DAX +1.0% France CAC 40 +0.3% UK FTSE +0.4% Spain IBEX +0.8% Italy FTSE MIB -0.3% This comes as US futures are also continuing to hold higher today, with S&P 500 futures now up 0.6%. After the heavy selling last week, things are calming down for now. But amid what should be

Kremlin Aide Ushakov: Many provisions of US drafted Ukraine peace plan seem acceptable. Some provisions of US drafted peace plan that required detailed discussion. European counterproposals on Ukraine peace plan seem at 1st glance completely unconstructive and do not work for Russia. And therein lies the rub. Europe does not like the plan and resent

Prior month -5.00 Dallas Fed manufacturing business index for November -10.4 Details Of the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey — November Summary Factory activity accelerated sharply; production index +15 to 20.5 (strong pickup). New orders turned positive: 4.8 vs. -1.7 prior. Capacity utilization jumped +21 to 19.4. Shipments rose +9 to 15.1 (faster growth). Labor Market

That will mark an over 20% rally from Friday’s close. Suffice to say, Deutsche Bank’s forecast is quite bullish considering the uncertainty faced by the US economy and the current macro landscape. As a reminder, the firm has also penciled in a forecast last week for the Fed to start QE again in Q1 2026.

ES and NQ have gapped open higher on the Globex reopening. The panic selling of US stocks is over. For now at least. BTD normal service has resumed. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Things are starting to get a bit dicey now with S&P 500 futures only seen up 13 points, or 0.2%, on the day. The high earlier in the session saw futures up by some 39 points, or 0.7%. Dow futures have turned flat and Nasdaq futures have also cut gains to just 0.4% on the

State media is reporting that: China’s Pres. Xi and US Pres. Trump held talks. Both sides should expand list of cooperation Xi clarified China’s position on Taiwan issue Xi tells Trump return of Taiwan to China an important part of post-war international order Should strive for more progress in bilateral ties Should open new space

The USDCHF extended higher last week, pushing into the extreme zone from November and breaking above the swing-area ceiling between 0.8066 and 0.8076. That upside momentum carried into today as the pair approached the next target at 0.81027, but once again sellers leaned against the level, stalling the advance and capping the rally. The subsequent

StakeMyGold, the innovative platform bridging physical gold with decentralized finance (DeFi), today announced a transformative 12% Annual Percentage Rate (APR) on staking for its gold-backed stablecoins. This offering triples the typical ~4% APR provided by other gold-yielding platforms, which often depend on low-risk lending or basic liquidity pools, by harnessing advanced DeFi protocols for optimized,

There aren’t any major expiries to take note of on the day, with the full list seen below. As such, trading sentiment will continue to revolve around the risk mood for the most part. In FX, watchful eyes will still be on the likes of the Japanese yen after last week’s continued selling but also

China–Japan flight cancellations surge, expected to hit one-month high on Dec. 27 Barclays: Risk assets, USD poised for firmer footing into 2026 Reserve Bank of India reported intervening in FX market to support the rupee Barclays: Powell likely to break close FOMC split in favour of cut Shares of major Chinese chip makers have slid

Reports are that the Reserve Bank of India likely intervened to support the rupee before the local spot market opened on Monday Reuters cite four trader sources. said that the central bank had likely stepped in the spot and non-deliverable forwards market to support INR The rupee has fallen more than 4% YTD 2025. This

German DAX futures +0.8% UK FTSE futures +0.5% For European equities, there is some catching up to do after the Friday declines – which missed out on the late rebound in Wall Street. So, there’s that as well. US futures are also holding higher today, with S&P 500 futures seen up 0.4%. But as mentioned

The USD is mixed with the greenback moving lower vs the EUR and the GBP (both are higher) but still higher vs the JPY. The USD is moving lower to kickstart the North American session as Fed’s Waller (dove) says he favors a cut in rates at the December meeting. Recall Waller was an initial

Since last Fed meeting available data suggests not much change, inflation not a big problem with labour market weak January will be tricky with a flood of data coming to indicate whether another cut is appropriate, need a meeting by meeting approach Still do not think labour market will turn around in the next few

Had productive talks with Lutnick, Greer in the last two days More work lies ahead on steel in trade talks with the US Will discuss aspect of critical, raw materials with US counterparts It doesn’t sound like there was much to take from the meetings it would seem, at least based on these comments. As

People’s Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate

If the court strikes down tariffs, new actions will be taken very quickly Decisions like the ones on Nvidia chips and China are on Trump’s desk There’s still no firm date on when the Supreme Court will deliver on ruling on tariffs. But the backup plan for the Trump administration would be to try and

Swiss National Bank President Martin Schlegel spoke on Saturday. Schlegel signalled that Switzerland’s exceptionally low inflation is set to pick up modestly, even as overall price growth remains comfortably within the SNB’s definition of price stability. Noted that inflation currently sits at the bottom of the bank’s 0%–2% target range but is likely to “rise

Barclays expects the US dollar to maintain positive momentum into 2026, supported by improving risk sentiment and a robust domestic investment outlook. In a research note, the bank says the dollar has proven resilient even as markets grapple with uncertainty over AI valuations, corporate earnings and the returns on large-scale investment spending. argues that massive

The United States and Ukraine say they have developed an “updated and refined” peace framework aimed at ending the war with Russia, revising an earlier Trump administration proposal that Kyiv and European partners viewed as overly favourable to Moscow. Info via Reuters. The joint announcement came after high-level talks in Geneva led by US Secretary

Barclays Research says next month’s Federal Reserve decision remains a close call, but Chair Jerome Powell is still positioned to tilt the Federal Open Market Committee toward a rate cut. In its assessment of recent public remarks, Barclays sees a split emerging inside the committee. Governors Stephen Miran, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller appear inclined

Shares of major Chinese chip makers have slid to multi-month lows. The news of note is via a Reuters report that the United States is considering letting Nvidia sell H200 chips to China. Which is weird. I had this back on Thursday (and its been popping in and out of news for moths before that):

A majority of members on the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) Monetary Policy Shadow Board are urging the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to deliver another 25-basis-point cut at its November Monetary Policy Statement, taking the Official Cash Rate to Shadow Board members said the New Zealand economy is beginning to recover from

A growing number of flights from mainland China to Japan are being cancelled, with 12 major routes already scrapping all scheduled services for the coming week, according to data from industry tracker Flight Master. As of 10 a.m. Monday, cancellations were concentrated among some of the busiest China–Japan links, including Tianjin Binhai–Kansai International, Nanjing Lukou–Kansai

UBS Global Wealth Management’s chief investment office says artificial intelligence and broader technology themes will remain the dominant engines of global equity performance in 2026, extending the powerful run seen throughout 2025. In its latest outlook, UBS argues that the macro backdrop is turning more supportive, with global growth expected to firm in the second

South Korea sees potential to coordinate with Taiwan on how to navigate US chip tariffs, according to Trade Minister Yeo Han-koo. Speaking in a radio interview, Yeo said Taiwan is also in talks with Washington, creating scope for both export-heavy economies to secure “the most favourable treatment” through cooperation. Seoul recently finalised a deal with

The Fed blackout period starts the second Saturday preceding an FOMC meeting and ends the Thursday following the meeting. Federal Reserve policy limits the extent to which FOMC participants and staff can speak publicly or grant interviews during Federal Reserve blackout periods. This means that the Fed members will still have time until Saturday to

With the US government shutdown ending, we’ll slowly see more data releases over time in catching up. And this week will feature PPI, retail sales, and durable goods orders from the US – the ones for September at least. While those might not be too impactful now, they are still worth watching in building the

Prior 88.4 Current conditions 85.6 vs 85.5 expected Prior 85.3 Expectations 90.6 vs 91.4 expected Prior 91.6 The German business morale dipped slightly in the latest month, with the expectations/outlook index also easing. This reaffirms a more cautious mood surrounding business sentiment in Europe’s largest economy, which has been persisting since the middle of the

In the European session, the only highlight is the German IFO, which is expected at 88.5 vs 88.4 prior. The data is not going to change anything for the ECB, so the market reaction will likely be muted. In the American session, we don’t have much on the agenda other than a couple of low

Monday begins quietly, with no significant scheduled economic events for the FX market. On Tuesday in the U.S., the data releases include PPI m/m, retail sales m/m, pending home sales m/m, the Richmond manufacturing index, and CB consumer confidence. Wednesday’s focus will be on inflation data from Australia, the RBNZ monetary policy announcement in New

Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins signalled that she remains undecided about whether to support another rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming meeting. Speaking to reporters on Saturday at the Boston Fed’s annual economic conference, Collins said she never commits to a position before entering the policy meeting itself. Her remarks follow comments earlier in

Freedom Holding Corp. (https://www.freedomholdingcorp.com/) (NASDAQ: FRHC), an international investment and technology company, has published its annual Sustainability Report for the 2025 financial year, showcasing the company’s substantial contributions to social, educational, sports, and environmental projects across the countries where it operates. The total volume of external ESG-oriented investments amounted to 27.87 billion tenge (USD 57.6

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meet this week, Wednesday 26 November. Their decision is due at 2pm local time: 0100 GMT 2000 US Eastern time on Tuesday, November 25 A press conference will follow an hour later. A 25bp rate cut is widely expected to 2.25% (currently 2.5%) NAB and BNZ expect the decision

Goldman Sachs says the long-term economic payoff from artificial intelligence is likely to far exceed the investment required — but warns that equity markets have already priced in much of that upside. In a research note, the bank estimates that the present discounted value of additional capital income generated by AI over the next 10

Goldman Sachs expects the US Federal Reserve to deliver a third consecutive rate cut at its December meeting. GS see moderating inflation and cooling labour-market conditions as giving policymakers room to ease further. then anticipates two additional reductions in 2026, one in March and another in June to bring the federal funds rate down to

President Donald Trump is preparing to unveil a broad plan aimed at curbing rising health-care costs, with an announcement expected as early as Monday, according to senior White House officials. The initiative will call on Congress to deliver legislation that prevents sharp increases in Affordable Care Act premiums — an issue the administration views as

A central question emerging from Washington and Wall Street alike is whether Donald Trump could engineer rapid interest-rate cuts simply by replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in 2026. But as Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal argues, the problem isn’t the chair — it’s the votes. Timiraos notes that the Federal Open Market

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain range, called a “band,” around a central reference rate,

Canada and India have agreed to restart negotiations on a comprehensive trade pact, ending a two-year freeze triggered by a diplomatic dispute. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi reached the breakthrough during their bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Johannesburg. According to a statement from Modi’s

Early signals from Japan’s 2026 wage talks point to another solid round of pay increases, strengthening expectations that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates soon. Info via Reuters. In brief: Labour unions, including Rengo, representing seven million workers, plan to seek wage gains of 5% or more, matching the demands that produced the

It’s a very sparse data calendar for the session here in APac on Monday, November 24, 2025. There is data from Singapore: October Core CPI, prior + 0.4% y/y Headline CPI, prior 0.40% m/m Headline CPI, prior + 0.7% y/y Due at 0500 GMT / 0000 US Eastern time This article was written by Eamonn

A senior member of Japan’s government advisory panel spoke again on Sunday. He signalled that Tokyo is prepared to intervene more aggressively in the currency market to offset the economic strain caused by a weakening yen — a stance that aligns with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s concerns about inflation. Takuji Aida, who also serves as

US Secretary Marco Rubio said negotiations aimed at securing a framework to end the war in Ukraine made their strongest advance yet, describing the latest round of talks as “the most productive day we have had” since diplomatic engagement began. Rubio said negotiators had “narrowed points in a very substantial way,” signalling that previously contentious

As is usual for a Monday morning, market liquidity is very thin until it improves as more Asian centres come online … prices are liable to swing around, so take care out there. Indicative rates only: EUR/USD 1.1516 USD/JPY 156.57 … Japan/China tension continues to simmer, JPY is indicating a little weaker. Note, it’s a

Mon: Bank of Israel Announcement; German Ifo (Nov), US National Activity Index (Oct), Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov) Tue: PBoC MLF; US Consumer Confidence (Nov), Richmond Fed (Nov), US Retail Sales (Oct) Wed: RBNZ Announcement, UK Autumn Budget; Australian CPI (Oct), US Dallas Fed (Oct) Thu: US Thanksgiving, ECB Minutes (Oct), BoK Announcement; Chinese Industrial

The major US indices had a volatile go at it today. The Dow industrial average had a range of about 800 points The S&P index had a range of 137 points or 2.07% The NASDAQ index had a range of 627 points or 2.28% The initial move was to the downside, and the selling took

Fed’s Williams: Downside risks to employment have increased US November S&P Global services flash PMI 55.0 vs 54.6 expected US November final UMich consumer sentiment 51.0 vs 50.5 expected US real weekly earnings for September -0.1% versus -0.3% in August Canada September retail sales -0.7% vs -0.7% expected Putin: Has received the US plan for

The AUDUSD is caught in a technical sandwich. Buyers found a floor at a key long-term swing area, but the recovery rally has run smack into a wall of resistance against a key MA. . If you look at the 4-Hour chart of the AUDUSD, you can see the technical battle lines are clearly drawn.

Trump hates to the see the market go down. There is a breaking report about Trump’s team floating selling H200 Nvidia chips to China. This idea has come and gone a couple times in the past month. There is a pop in Nvidia shares on this. There is also a pop in the broad market

The President of the United States judges himself — seemingly every day — on the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. He is a person that can’t stand to see stock markets go down, even for a brief period. He has utterly convinced himself — and not entirely without reason — that American progress

Must remain vigilant Separately from the ECB’s Kocher: There are geopolitical and economic risks that are at a level we haven’t seen in a long time At the moment, we seem to be in a good place This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth estimate for Q4 remained at 4.2%. That is still at the highs for the quarter. In their own words The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 4.2 percent on November 21, unchanged from November 19 after rounding. After

The GBPUSD is waking up and trying to take more control with a push to the upside, but there is work to be done. Looking at the hourly chart of the GBPUSD, the pair has been battling back and forth, trying to find a direction. We established a nice double bottom floor at the 1.3038

We have been down this road before, but Russian Pres. Putin is saying: He received the US plan for Ukraine. Think they can be a basis for final resolution. Text was not discussed with Russia. Says that Ukraine is against the plan. Russia is ready for a peaceful resolution but the details of the plan

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda warned that yen weakness is increasingly feeding into import costs and consumer inflation, saying currency swings now have a bigger impact than in the past. Ueda said Japanese firms have become more willing to raise both wages and prices, which heightens the sensitivity of inflation to foreign-exchange moves. He

Growth news is better than expected Interest rate level is appropriate based on information and indicators Same old comments here from de Guindos. He acknowledges the pickup in economic activity given the previous rate cuts and the expansionary fiscal policies. ECB members have already stated countless times that they won’t respond to small or short-term

The major European indices are mostly closing lower. The UK FTSE 100 rose by +0.05%. France’s CAC fell by -0.03%. A look at the closing levels shows: German DAX, -0.78% France’s CAC, -0.03% UK’s FTSE 100 +0.05% Spain’s Ibex, -0.99% Italy’s FTSE MIB -0.51%. For the trading week all the major indices fell by 2%

Prior was +1.0% Sales were down in six of nine subsectors, led by autos Food and beverage +0.8% Ex-autos +0.2% vs -0.5% expected Prior ex-autos +0.7% Ex-autos and gas 0.0% vs +1.1% prior retail e-commerce sales decreased 3.5% t October preliminary retail sales: “relatively unchanged” Retail sales were up 0.2% in the third quarter There

The USDCAD experienced fluctuating movement today after extending its upward trajectory yesterday, surpassing a key swing area near 1.40791. Yesterday’s high also tested and stalled at another significant swing area around 1.41049. Today, following a brief and quickly rejected attempt to breach the higher ceiling, the price has largely traded sideways, oscillating between the short-term

The USDJPY has experienced weakness in the last hour, extending its decline to the 100-hour moving average at 156.28, with a low print of 156.22 just beneath it. The 100-hour MA is the initial key target for sellers seeking to continue the correction. Further downside focus would shift to the 38.2% retracement of the November

Earlier Collins said leaving rates steady would be “appropriate for now” Calls policy “mildly restrictive” The battle over rates picked back up as Williams had some dovish comments today, that boosted the odds of a December cut back above 50% and is weighing on the US dollar. This article was written by Adam Button at

BOJ’s Masu to Nikkei says: BOJ is close to decision to raise rates Says it’s not good for real interest rates to be deeply negative relationship with the neutral rate of interest rate. Japan’s policy rate is lower than the neutral rate. He says that most countries rates are higher than the neutral interest rate

USD/JPY made a quick move lower, running stops below 156.60 down to 156.20 where it’s bounced. With the intervention talk in USD/JPY, that’s always a threat but I think this is more a case of stops being set on fears of intervention and triggering some quick selling. Moreover, the volatility in stocks markets is a

Like the US employment report, the BLS is saying that the CPI report for October will NOT be released, and that the November report will be released on December 18. That is after the December FOMC rate decision on December 10. CPI The CPI report will not include a one month change due to the

Japanese finance minister Katayama: Closely watching FX moves with a high sense of urgency Won’t comment on forex levels Recent FX moves are sharp, one-sided Important for currencies to move in stable manner reflecting fundamentals Will take appropriate action based on U.S-Japan forex agreement At my meeting with BoJ Ueda and economy minister, Ueda explained

Pres. Trump is saying: Ukraine is losing land Russian Pres. Putin does not want to get more land Thursday is an appropriate deadline for Ukraine plan Meanwhile: Ukraine, France, Germany, and UK are reportedly working on a counterproposal to US peace plan. The proposed 28-point peace plan aimed at ending the war in Ukraine was

ICYMI – Morgan Stanley has withdrawn its call for a December Federal Reserve rate cut after the delayed September jobs report showed a surprisingly strong rebound in hiring. U.S. non-farm payrolls rose by 119,000, reversing a small drop in August and more than doubling consensus expectations for a modest 50,000 gain. Despite the unemployment rate

Singapore’s economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter, prompting the government to sharply upgrade its outlook for next year. Q3 GDP expanded 4.2% year-on-year, beating the Reuters poll of 4.0% and far above the earlier 2.9% advance estimate. Quarter-on-quarter growth rose 2.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis. Buoyed by stronger global demand and

Both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 are breaking lower, hitting new session lows and crossing below their 100-day moving averages (MA) for the first time since May. S&P 500: The index is currently trading at 6,526.66 (down 0.17%), having slipped below its 100-day MA of 6,547.38. NASDAQ: The index is under significant pressure, down 166

Prior 49.6 Services PMI 52.7 vs 54.0 expected Prior 54.6 Composite PMI 52.1 vs 53.5 expected Prior 53.9 Full report here Key Findings: Business activity growth softens in November Comment: Commenting on the flash PMI data, Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, said: “These figures are a major setback for

Prior was 54.8 Manufacturing 51.9 vs 52.0 exp Prior manufacturing 52.5 Composite PMI 54.8 vs 54.5 prior Prior composite 54.6 Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence: “The flash PMI data point to a relatively buoyant US economy in November, signalling annualised GDP growth of about 2.5% so far in the fourth

The USD is little changed in up and down trading vs both the EUR and the GBP, while the greenback is lower vs the JPY as some profit taking from the run higher kicks in to end the trading week. IN the video, I take a look at the technicals that are driving the price

Maybe the consumer isn’t doing so badly after all? The Gap CEO Richard Dickson said in the earnings call that despite “widely reported macroeconomic pressure on the low-income consumer,” Gap Inc. saw “growth across all income cohorts.” Shares are up 8% premarket. Yesterday, Walmart was also fairly upbeat on the consumer and the holiday season.

Prelim was 50.5 Prior was 53.6 Conditions 51.1 vs 58.6 prior Expectations 51.0 vs 50.3 prior The UMich numbers are unreliable and haven’t tracked consumer spending for a long time. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Prior month -0.3% (August) September real weekly earnings month-to-month -0.1% YoY 0.8% versus 0.7% last month This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Price Prediction, Bro Bitcoin has been under heavy pressure, and the latest performance metrics show a market that has clearly entered a corrective phase. The short term and medium term numbers tell the story. Over the last week BTC is down 16.75%. Over the last month it is down 25.25%. The

Prior month 1.3% (revised from 1.4%) Wholesale sales for the month of August 0.1% versus 0.4% estimate. Wholesale inventories 0.0% versus -0.2% estimate. Inventory to sales ratio 1.28 months versus 1.28 months last month.The ratio is near the low levels going back to midyear 2022 This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said the government is prepared to issue new bonds to help fund the latest stimulus package if stronger tax revenues fall short, but stressed that overall JGB issuance will still be smaller than last year’s total. Takaichi reiterated that Japan must pursue sustainable public finances through economic growth, signalling her

Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee signalled discomfort with delivering another rapid rate cut, warning that policymakers risk front-loading easing before knowing whether the recent rise in inflation is temporary. Speaking in a virtual interview, Goolsbee said inflation has been “steady at best, and by some measures worse,” leaving him uneasy about adding a third

Sector Overview Today’s stock market heatmap reveals a mix of dynamic sector performances, with technology leading the charge. Notably: Communication Services: Google (GOOGL) surged by 3.50%, boosting confidence in the sector as investor sentiment turns optimistic. Consumer Cyclical: Tesla (TSLA) saw a rise of 1.27%, showing strength in the auto manufacturing space, while Amazon (AMZN)

The USDCHF pushed up to the high end of the 0.8066-0.8076 key swing area yesterday, where sellers emerged and subsequently pushed the price lower today. Today’s decline found support just ahead of the broken 61.8% retracement at 0.80295, sparking a renewed rally back towards the mentioned swing area. The pair is now attempting to clear

Asian equity markets traded broadly lower, with China and Hong Kong leading declines. The Shanghai Composite fell 0.6%, while the Hang Seng dropped 1.8% alongside similar weakness in the Shenzhen Component (-1.8%) and ChiNext (-2.1%). Japan’s Nikkei 225 also slid 1.8%, mirroring the regional risk-off tone. U.S. futures were steadier, with S&P 500 (ES) and

We’ve set a 2% target and at 3%, inflation is too high We made a sacred promise of 2% inflation A little uneasy on inflation Longer-term, I believe rates can come down ‘a full amount’ Employment near full employment Goolsbee will have a vote again in 2027. This article was written by Adam Button at

Japan’s trade data for October came in stronger than expected, with exports rising 3.6% year-on-year, comfortably beating forecasts for a 1.1% gain, according to Ministry of Finance figures. Imports also surprised to the upside, edging 0.7% higher versus expectations for a small decline. The trade deficit narrowed to ¥231.8 billion, smaller than the ¥280.1 billion

Repeats she would find it difficult to support Dec rate cut Inflation too high, jobs market roughly balanced Repeats that Oct cut was not warranted More from Collins: Global economic fragmentation could make economy more volatile Fragmentation could lead to higher inflation Higher economic volatility could complicate Fed’s work Note that the Fed’s blackout period

Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 8 bps (67% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) 2026: 94 bps ECB: 1 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) 2026: 10 bps BoE: 22 bps (83% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) 2026: 63 bps BoC: 4 bps (87% probability of

Tariffs have increased prices but are not expected to lead to persistent inflation Inflation progress has stalled but should be on track to 2% in 2027 Fed can still cut rates in the near term given current policy is moderately restrictive Economic growth has slowed and the labor market has gradually cooled Labour market now

The comments from the Fed this morning have shifted a bit with Fed’s Williams saying that policy is still restrictive and that could lead to a cut. Fed Collins said that is important to be forward-looking and that there are risks to the labor market adding that the increased risks of labor market where good

We are seeing US equities catching some nice bids after Fed’s Williams said that they can still cut rates in the near term given the modestly restrictive policy. The December rate cut odds jumped to roughly 60% after his dovish comments. Fed’s Williams is the President of the New York Fed and he is a

ECB’s de Guindos: Risks to growth are balanced Dovish hold, or hawkish cut: that is the question How have interest rate expectations changed after this week’s events? UK November flash services PMI 50.5 vs 52.0 expected Eurozone November flash services PMI 53.1 vs 52.8 expected Germany November flash manufacturing PMI 48.4 vs 49.5 expected ECB’s

The last Fed Chair Powell’s press conference marked a top in risk sentiment as the infamous words “a December cut is not a foregone conclusion – in fact, far from it” triggered a hawkish repricing in interest rate expectations. The stock market has been drifting lower ever since as the chances for a December cut

Prior +0.5%; revised to +0.7% Retail sales +0.2% vs +1.5% y/y expected Prior +1.5%; revised to +1.0% Retail sales ex autos, fuel -1.0% vs -0.3% m/m expected Prior +0.6%; revised to +0.7% Retail sales ex autos, fuel +1.2% vs +2.5% y/y expected Prior +2.3%; revised to +1.7% These are all big misses and the initial

Japan’s exports rose for a second straight month in October, signalling a partial recovery after recent tariff-driven weakness in U.S. demand. Total shipments increased 3.6% year-on-year, beating expectations for a 1.1% rise, though exports to the United States still fell 3.1%. Shipments to China grew 2.1%, helping offset the drag from the U.S. market. Imports

Major stock indices are closing lower after hopes for a rebound after Nvidia’s earnings, turns into a rout to the downside by the close. The NASDAQ index was up 583.10 point at session highs. It is closing down -486.18 points or -2.15% The S&P index was up 128.19 points at session highs. It is closing

New Zealand Imports in October, 8.04bn NZD prior 7.17bn Exports 6.5bn prior 5.7bn Trade Balance is a deficit of -1542mn for the month prior -1335mn The trade balance YTD is a deficit of 2.28bn NZD prior -2.39bn — The kiwi $ is barely moved on the data, it was sold off alongside other ‘risk’ on

Prior 52.3 Manufacturing PMI 50.2 vs 49.2 expected Prior 49.7 Composite PMI 50.5 vs 51.8 expected Prior 52.2 Key Findings: UK private sector growth eases in November, while output price inflation softens to 59-month low Comment: Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence: “November’s flash PMI surveys brought disappointing news on the

The broader S&P and NASDAQ indices are both testing key swing levels and also near their 100 day moving averages. For the S&P index the last time the price traded below its 100 day moving average is back on May 9. For the NASDAQ index it to is traded below its 100 day moving average

Yen finally finding some small bids as Japan’s Cabinet approves 21tln stimulus package U.S. charges four in Nvidia chip-smuggling case, revives calls for chip tracking Bitcoin, Ether continue to slide – crypto crush Ueda:inflation to converge around our target sometime from latter half of next fiscal year Offshore yuan not artificially cheap, Mizuho says, citing

Prior 48. Manufacturing PMI 47.8 vs 49.0 expected Prior 48.8 Composite PMI 49.9 vs 48.1 expected Prior 47.7 Full report here Key Findings: Fresh expansion in services activity helps French economy stabilise in November Comment: Commenting on the flash PMI data, Jonas Feldhusen, Junior Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, said: “The French private sector shows

In the European session, we get the UK Retail Sales data and the Flash PMIs for major European economies and the UK. None of these data is going to change anything for their respective central banks, but it could still be market-moving. The BoE is expected to cut in December with a 83% probability following

Prior 53.0 Manufacturing PMI 49.7 vs 50.2 expected Prior 50.0 Composite PMI 52.4 vs 52.5 expected Prior 52.5 Full report here Key Findings: November sees further solid expansion of eurozone business activity Comment: Commenting on the flash PMI data, Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, said: “For months the manufacturing

Australian S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (November 2025) 51.6, a nice jump back into expansion prior 49.7 Services 52.7 prior 52.5 Composite 52.6 prior 52.1 — Little impact on the AUD. The currency fell alongside the broad risk sell off on Thursday, US time. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

investingLive.com Stock Market Update Now Nasdaq Futures Struggle After Yesterday’s Reversal. Caution Still Warranted Nasdaq futures remain under pressure this morning after a dramatic session yesterday that caught many traders off guard. The market opened Wednesday with strong enthusiasm following Nvidia’s earnings beat, and for several hours the sentiment was decisively positive. By the afternoon,

ECB rate cuts are increasingly supporting financing conditions Fiscal packages will have a measurable growth effect She’s not deviating from her recent comments as the ECB remains in neutral stance watching how the economy evolves. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

U.S. prosecutors have charged four people with illegally exporting advanced Nvidia AI chips to China, a case that has intensified calls in Washington for tighter tracking of high-end semiconductors. The indictment alleges the defendants—two U.S. citizens and two Chinese nationals—used fake contracts, false paperwork and third-country routing to evade export controls. Info via Reuters. According

Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said the government expects the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio to fall slightly from last year’s level, even after compiling an extra budget to finance its latest stimulus package. The remarks aim to reassure markets concerned about Japan’s heavy borrowing needs. Katayama also said Japan is only “halfway” toward achieving stable, sustainable

Bloomberg with the headline, a comment from a Japanese ‘government panelist’ saying it may intervene before USD/JPY reaaches 160. “Japan has such an enormous amount of foreign reserves,” Takuji Aida, chief economist at Credit Agricole, said in an interview with Bloomberg on Thursday, referring to funds that would likely be used if the government stepped

Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Anna Paulson said she is approaching December’s policy meeting “cautiously,” arguing that the Fed must carefully balance slowing labour momentum against lingering inflation risks. Paulson backed the most recent rate cuts but warned that “each cut raises the bar for the next one” as policy moves closer to providing economic stimulus

Prior 101 Services sector confidence 98 vs 95 prior A little miss here but it’s not a market-moving report and it certainly won’t change anything for the ECB. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said the central bank’s baseline view remains to continue raising interest rates if the economy and inflation evolve as projected, signalling growing confidence that the BOJ’s forecasts are on track. Ueda noted that the likelihood of those projections materialising is increasing, reinforcing expectations of further, gradual policy normalisation. That’s

USD/JPY and yen crosses have fallen a little in the wake of Japan’s Cabinet approving the 21.3tln yen economic stimulus package: 17.7tln JPY of fresh spending via extra budget measures ranging from price relief to investment support in priority sectors biggest portion will go to price relief, ¥11.7 trillion, subsidies, cash handouts and such This

Can’t comments on expected size of additional bond issuance to fund the latest package Believe markets have stabilised after various announcements Various factors contribute to market developments Don’t believe latest package is sufficiently big to ignite demand-driven inflation Total bond issuance this fiscal year to be below last fiscal year The Japanese Yen caught a

More from BOJ Gov Ueda: Expect inflation to converge around our target sometime from latter half of next fiscal year through fiscal 2027 Earlier: BoJ Gov Ueda says prospect of economy, price forecasts materializing increasing (rate hike Bank of Japan Governor Ueda says weak yen pushes up import prices, factor in higher CPI Senior BOJ

Here’s the latest from Bessent: The Fed should be looking at data Fed should keep going with cutting cycle This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

EUR/USD 1.1680 (EUR 1.30 bn) 1.1625 (EUR 1.39 bn) 1.1500 (EUR 1.50 bn) USD/JPY 155.00 (US$ 761.93 mn) GBP/USD 1.3435 (GBP 282.82 mn) USD/CHF 0.8050 (US$ 408.74 mn) 0.7870 (US$ 212.00 mn) USD/CAD 1.4200 (US$ 519.71 mn) 1.4120 (US$ 723.08 mn) 1.3970 (US$ 770.60 mn) 1.3900 (US$ 693.89 mn) AUD/USD 0.6550 (AUD 3.03 bn) NZD/USD

Risk off is pronounced in crypto: equity valuations ‘AI ‘bubble’ worries Fed huts questioned are all weighing. BTC hit a 7 month low today, while ETH a 4 month low. I posted earlier on a Whexit: Top Bitcoin whale sells entire $1.3bn BTC stack as sentiment fades This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at

UK consumer confidence slipped in November as households brace for potentially tough measures in next week’s budget, according to the latest GfK survey. The headline index fell to -19 from -17, slightly weaker than the Reuters poll expectation of -18 and matching the lowest reading since May. While sentiment remains notably above April’s sharp drop

President Donald Trump has widened tariff relief for Brazilian food imports, reversing part of the steep trade penalties he imposed earlier this year and aiming to ease pressure on U.S. consumers frustrated by high grocery bills. An executive order signed Thursday exempts dozens of staple food items from a 40% tariff that had applied to

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain range, called a “band,” around a central reference rate,

Japan preliminary manufacturing PMI for November 48.8, contracted for a fifth month prior 48.2 Some of sub-indexes: factory output showed improvement, climbing to a four-month high, suggesting that the business environment for manufacturers is edging towards stabilisation new orders continued to decline, though at a slower rate than in October, reflecting subdued domestic and global

Claims that China is deliberately weakening the offshore yuan are misplaced, according to Mizuho Securities. In a research note said the yuan is neither undervalued nor being artificially cheapened, and that criticism of the currency as “controlled” ignores key evidence. Noted that the PBOC’s daily guidance has mostly leaned toward appreciation, not depreciation, and that

U.S. banks have abandoned plans for a large, multi-year $20 billion bailout package for Argentina, according to the Wall Street Journal. The proposal, which had been under discussion as part of wider financial support for President Javier Milei’s stabilisation agenda, has been deemed unworkable given Argentina’s deteriorating fiscal position and limited creditor appetite. Instead, bankers

Japan November Core CPI 3.0% expected 3.0%, prior 2.9% Headline reads the same, comes in at 3.0% expected 3.0%, prior 2.9% The core-core rate, ie excluding food and energy 3.1% expected 3.1%, prior 3.0% Yen is little changed, USD/JPY circa 157.46. — If you were looking for data today to support a December rate hike

One of the world’s largest individual Bitcoin holders has exited the market entirely. Blockchain data shows that Owen Gunden — ranked as the eighth-richest crypto whale — has liquidated his full BTC position, offloading around 11,000 Bitcoin worth $1.3 billion over the past month. Info comes via crypto media outlets. The final tranche moved on

The European Union is weighing new ways to invest directly in Australia’s critical resources sector, with Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič saying Brussels is exploring options ranging from equity stakes to long-term offtake agreements and joint investments. Šefčovič discussed the proposals with Australia’s resources minister during meetings this week, underscoring Europe’s push to secure stable supplies

The USDCAD has run to the upside extending above a swing level near 1.4079, but then found willing sellers against another swing level at 1.4105. IN the video above, I take a look at the USDCAD from a technical perspective and outline what would give traders some cause for pause after the recent run higher

Inflation data from Japan for October 2025 is due today. If its anything like the October Tokyo area CPI date we got three weeks ago Recap – Tokyo inflation quickens to 2.8%, fuelling bets on BoJ rate hike it’ll further inflame calls for a December rate hike from the Bank of Japan: BOJ likely to

People’s Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate

Bitcoin is now lower than it was at this time last year. It’s down 4.4% on the day but — more troubling — it’s lower year-over-year. On November 20, 2024 it closed at $94K and it nearly traded at that at today’s highs but it’s reversed sharply lower and is down $3980 to $86,530. That’s

Japan is preparing a ¥21.3 trillion ($135bn) stimulus package — its largest since the Covid era — to cushion households from persistent inflation, according to a draft seen by Reuters. The plan underscores Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s aggressive fiscal stance but comes as markets grow uneasy about the heavy borrowing required to fund her agenda.

Japanese finance minister Katayama: Won’t comment on forex levels Important for currencies to move in stable manner reflecting fundamentals Recently seeing one-sided, very rapid moves Will take appropriate action based on U.S-Japan forex agreement FX intervention is an option as it is mentioned in Japan-US agreement in September Will issue govt debt to fund part

This would be the fourth-largest intraday gain to be wiped out in the past five years, according to Susquehanna. With that, the market is trying to hold the October low of 6550. If it breaks, we will be at the lowest since Sept 11. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

September US non-farm payrolls +119K vs +50K expected US Initial jobless claims 220K vs 230K estimate November Philly Fed business index -1.7 vs +2.0 expected Canada October produce price index +1.5% vs +0.3% expected Eurozone November flash consumer confidence -14.2 vs -14.0 expected Fed’s Goolsbee: Inflation seems to have stalled Fed’s Hammack: Cutting rates risks

The Nasdaq was up 2% at one point and now it’s down 2%. The S&P 500 earlier bounced from the October low but stops are being run now as it cracks in both indexes. The S&P 500 is at the lowest since Sept 10. This isn’t a pretty picture. This article was written by Adam

After the close today, we get earnings reports from two US clothing retailers. 1) The Gap I like The Gap as a good barometer of the consumer right now. It has three brands: Old Navy, The Gap and Banana Republic to cater to low, middle and higher end consumers. They should have some visibility on

This wasn’t the price action that the bulls were hoping for today. Nvidia crushed earnings once again and its revenue forecast was strong but after a 5% pre-market jump, shares slowly faded and are now down 1.8%, threatening to leave a nasty candle on the chart on what’s looking to be a high-volume day. Now

That’s an ugly candle. If we finish the day here, this is going to be one of the most-disappointing days since Liberation Day. There wasn’t a bearish catalyst today: Nvidia earnings were good and Walmart was relatively upbeat on the consumer (WMT still +6%). The jobs report wasn’t too hot or too cold either. That’s

The S&P 500 has pared its gain to 1.0%, shaving of about 60 points of gains. It’s trading at 6707 from a high of 6770. Keep an eye on Nvidia, which had a big post-earnings bounce but that’s now faded to +1.6%. See: Stop saying that it’s not a bubble because Nvidia is only trading

Fed’s Cook is now speaking and says: Not all market volatility is problematic One major vulnerability is maturity mismatch in hedge fund treasury securities trading strategies.. Lisa Cook is a Governor and has a permanent vote. Trump looked to have her removed from the Fed Board due to purported lies on mortgage applications. The Supreme

The price bitcoin is now seeing increased liquidation as it falls $-4500 or -4.96% and back below the $87,000 level. The price is currently trading at $86,960. That takes the price to the lowest level since April 22. The low for the year extended to $74,434 back on April 7. The price closed in 2024

The market is down to pricing in just a 30% chance of a December Fed cut and the Dec/Jan combined odds are 86%. Generally, I’m inclined to ignore the FOMC Minutes and focus on data but since we’ve got no data to work with, this one could be instructive. Powell also highlighted some deep divisions

The AUDUSD tested the downside yesterday, briefly breaking below its 200-day moving average for the first time since June. That move quickly failed, however, and the pair rotated back to the upside. Today, after the U.S. data release, the AUDUSD pushed higher and broke above the falling 100-hour moving average at 0.6498. But after reaching

Both had in-depth exchanges on trade ties Two sides should manager the uncertainties in trade ties Stated China’s stance on Nexperia It’s odds that they’re back talking again and could indicate some fresh friction. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Prior was -12.8 Details: Employment: +6.0 vs +4.6 last month Prices paid: +56.1 vs +49.2 last month New orders: -8.6 vs +18.2 last month That’s an unwelcome rise in prices paid and a return to negative for new orders after two positive months. Shipments: -8.7 vs +6.0 last month Unfilled orders: -6.5 vs -2.2 last

Major indices of turn negative and so has Nvidia. After trading as high as $196, Nvidia is now trading down $1.84 or -1% at $184.70. NASDAQ index is down -126.2 or -0.59%. S&P is down -0.37%. Dow industrial average is down -0.20% This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

U.S. President Donald Trump is weighing an executive order that would put Washington on a collision course with states over how artificial intelligence is regulated, according to a draft seen by Reuters. We had the heads up to this yesterday: Trump pumps AI investment, making US economy hottest in world. Regulation tho, hot or not?

Walmart shares are up 3.6% in the pre-market following today’s earnings report. I think this report is probably the best reading on the consumer that we will get before the next Federal Reserve meeting. The verdict? Pretty good but with some caveats. Comp sales were up 4.5% in the US and the company raises its

The major US indices are still higher on the day, but well off the highs. Looking at the major indices: Dow industrial average is up 167 points or 0.36% at 46294. S&P index is up 23 points or 0.35% at 6666. The NASDAQ index is up 100 points or 0.45% at 22669. At session highs

Prior -0.10% Full report here This is never a market-moving report. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

Eurostoxx +0.47% Germany DAX +0.97% France CAC 40 +0.03% UK FTSE +0.25% Spain IBEX +0.83% The risk sentiment improved following the strong Nvidia Q3 earnings here. The attention will now switch to the US data with the December cut probabilities now down to roughly 30% following the BLS announcement that the November NFP will be

Prior was 4.06m Sales +1.2% vs +1.3% prior Inventory at 4.4 months Median home prices +2.1% vs Oct 2024 This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

The earnings info is here: Nvidia Q3: Adj. EPS 1.30 (expected 1.24), Revenue 57.00bln (expected 54.41bln), Nvidia recording solid beats, as usual. The firm remains on the leading edge of the AI trend/revolution. Shares in the firm rose leading into the announcement, so market dynamics is dictating a limited rise after. Still, NQ likes it.

Ukraine Pres. Zelenskyy: Agreed to work on the US draft plan to end the war Ready to work with the US and Europe for peace. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Prior week 232K Initial jobless claims 220K vs 230K estimate 4-week MA 224.25K vs 227.25K prior Continuing claims 1.974M vs estimate 1.951M. Prior week 1.957M 4-week moving average 1.960M vs 1.954M the prior week. Like the US jobs report for September, this report is also not showing job weakness. The BLS has also updated the

Prior +22K (revised to -4K) Private Payrolls +97K vs +62K expected. Prior 38k Manufacturing Payrolls: -6K vs -8K expected. Prior -12k. Government Payrolls +22K vs -16K prior Unemployment Rate 4.4% vs 4.3% expected. Prior 4.3% Unrounded unemployment 4.440% vs 4.324% Average Earnings MoM +0.2% vs +0.3% expected. Prior 0.3% Average Earnings YoY +3.8% vs +3.7%

British consumer confidence slumped sharply in November, recording its biggest monthly drop since April, as households grew more pessimistic about both the economic outlook and their own finances. A survey by Opinium for the British Retail Consortium (BRC) found that expectations for the economy over the next three months fell to –44%, down from –35%

Prior was -14.2 This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

People’s Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate

The US Dollar is the strongest of the majors to kickstart the North American session, extending the technical breakout we saw yesterday. The Driver: “Fed Flying Blind” in December? The FX market is repricing the Fed’s December path following word that the BLS will delay the November jobs report until December 16—that is after the

The USDCHF has traded higher this week. Yesterday, the run higher took the price above a key cluster of technical levels including the 200 bar moving average on the 4 hour chart (Green line on the chart below), the 50% midpoint of the most recent trend moved to the downside (at 0.8000 level), and the

Nvidia shares are taking off. They are currently up around 3.9% at $193.80 after beating earnings and guiding higher than expectations going forward. Technically speaking, the move to the upside as increase the bullish bias: Looking at the daily chart, the price low this week stalled right near its 100 day moving average (blue line

Google is on a roll. They releases Gemini 3 this week to impressive reviews. They have been hinting at a follow up to the impressive Nano Banana 1 image generation and editing tool for a couple weeks, including the image above from a lead at their AI Studio. Now it’s out. I’ll give it a

There was sharp two-way volatility in the GBPUSD following the U.S. data release at 8:30 AM ET. The pair initially dropped to a low of 1.30425, then quickly reversed higher, with the rebound extending to 1.3095. On the hourly chart, that rebound high matches the top of a recent swing area between 1.30837 and 1.30956

The White House is urging Congress to reject legislation that would place stricter limits on exports of advanced AI chips, such as those from Nvidia Corp. to China and other foreign buyers, according to a Bloomberg report. The proposed bill, part of the so-called “GAIN AI” effort and currently under consideration in a defence-spending package,

Prior -38 This is not a market moving report. This survey tracks changes in the level of factory orders from around 500 companies across 38 sectors of manufacturing industry. The survey covers domestic and export orders, stocks, price, investment intentions and output expectations. It’s been ranging between -18 and -36 for several years now. This

Sector Overview The market heatmap paints a vibrant picture for the technology sector today, particularly among semiconductors where stocks experienced significant gains. Leading the charge, Nvidia (NVDA) showed an impressive increase of 4.49%, followed closely by Avago (AVGO) at 4.26% and AMD at 3.33%. This uptrend signals renewed investor interest in semiconductor stocks, potentially driven

Bitcoin Long-Term Technical Analysis: Is the Current Dip a Buying Opportunity? Date: November 20, 2025 Bitcoin has recently experienced significant volatility, leaving many investors wondering if the current price action represents a market correction or a strategic entry point. In his latest analysis of Bitcoin futures, Itai Levitan from investingLive.com (formerly ForexLive.com) breaks down the

Yesterday we had the news that: Axios says the U.S. is secretly drafting new plan to end Ukraine war Then this: Army Secretary Driscoll and chief of staff Gen. George visit Ukraine – unannounced trip Later: Oil prices fall on talk of ending the Ukraine war And: Ukraine peace plan would surrender Donbas and halve

Prior was +0.8% (revised to +1.0%) Prices y/y +6.0% vs +5.5% prior (revised to +5.7%) Raw materials price index +1.6% m/m vs +1.7% prior These are hot numbers. The Bank of Canada has already moved to the sidelines and one Canadian bank is now talking about rate hikes next year. This article was written by

Hammack has been hawkish for awhile and she’s a voter in 2026. It doesn’t sound like she will be supporting a cut any time soon. Easing mon pol now may encourage financial risk taking Risk management rate cuts could increase financial stability risks Cutting rates now could distort market pricing levels Banks are well-capitalized right

UK November CBI trends total orders -37 vs -33 expected Eurozone September construction output -0.5% vs -0.1% m/m prior ECB’s Makhlouf: I’m comfortable with where monetary policy is European indices see green at the open as risk sentiment improves FX option expiries for 20 November 10am New York cut Germany October PPI 0.1% vs 0.0%

Nvidia Q3 Nvidia delivered another blockbuster quarter, easily clearing Wall Street expectations as the global AI build-out continues at full throttle. Adjusted EPS landed at $1.30 (expected 1.24), while revenue surged to $57.01bn (est. $55.19bn). Gross margin remained exceptionally strong at 73.6%, highlighting Nvidia’s pricing power and still-tight supply of top-end accelerators. Data-centre performance once

Prior -0.1% PPI Y/Y -1.8% vs -1.9% expected Prior -1.7% This is not going to change anything for the ECB. From the agency: “In October 2025, lower energy prices continued to be the main reason for the year-on-year decline in producer prices. Intermediate goods were also less expensive than a year earlier. By contrast, capital

A senior Japanese economist has warned that the yen is increasingly at risk of sliding to 160 per dollar, arguing that interest-rate moves by the Bank of Japan may do little to arrest the currency’s depreciation. Koichi Fujishiro, chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute, said the yen’s persistent weakness, despite a narrowing Japan–U.S. rate

How to Trade Nasdaq Futures Today with tradeCompass At the time of this tradeCompass analysis, Nasdaq 100 futures are around $25,104, trading just above the bullish threshold at $25,095, so the map is currently tilted to the bullish side. Summary tradeCompass map Bullish above: $25,095 Bearish below: $25,000 Primary bias: Intraday bullish while price holds

Reuters citing unnamed sources and local media in their report This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Japan Chief Cabinet Secretary Kihara: Watching market moves, including bond market, closely Recent FX moves are sharp, one-sided FX market needs to move stably reflecting fundamentals Concerned about FX moves Closely watching excessive, disorderly moves in FX market including speculative moves Watching fx market move with high sense of urgency This is all just blah,

Gold eventually erased all the gains from last week’s short-squeeze and it’s now trading near key levels ahead of the US September NFP and the US Jobless Claims data. Strong data should keep weighing on gold as it would keep the market speculating on rate cuts pause, while weak data is likely to support the

Japan’s top economic officials signalled heightened vigilance over financial markets on Wednesday, with Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama saying she and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda agreed to watch developments with a “strong sense of urgency.” We’re about to get more active in Asia morning trade, so just reviewing that meeting yesterday. The comments came

IC Markets, a global leader in online trading, is pleased to announce the launch of Season 6 of IC Your Trade, its signature thought-leadership and market insights series created in collaboration with Bloomberg Media Studios. The first episode is due for release 26th of November 2025. This season continues to explore the evolving world of

Nvidia delivered one of the most powerful earnings updates in its history this week, reinforcing its dominance in the global AI boom and signalling that demand for its next-generation processors remains far ahead of supply. The company reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $57.0bn, beating expectations, with data-centre sales surging to $51.2bn, up 66% from a

Bank of Japan board member Toyoaki Koeda delivered one of the clearest endorsements yet for continued policy normalisation, arguing that interest rates must keep rising to avoid future economic distortions. Koeda said Japan’s underlying inflation is now around 2%, supported by broadly solid economic indicators, tight labour-market conditions and demand–supply balances that have largely normalised.

EUR/USD 1.1600 (EUR 2.11 bn) 1.1500 (EUR 3.00 bn) USD/JPY 155.00 (US$ 1.61 bn) GBP/USD 1.3250 (GBP 1.05 bn) 1.2900 (GBP 597.22 mn) USD/CHF 0.8050 (US$ 280.70 mn) 0.7940 (US$ 302.49 mn) USD/CAD 1.4055 (US$ 278.90 mn) 1.3275 (US$ 340.00 mn) AUD/USD 0.6500 (AUD 689.52 mn) 0.6550 (AUD 445.6 mn) NZD/USD 0.5675 (NZD 300.00 mn)

The Bank of Japan appears poised to raise interest rates at its December 18-19 meeting, according to a new Reuters poll showing a slim majority of economists expecting the policy rate to rise to 0.75% from 0.50%. While forecasts remain finely balanced, 53% of respondents (43 of 81) see a December move, and all economists

Need compelling evidence to change my view We should be very cautious in reacting to small deviations in the projections New projections unlikely to show significant change Completely relaxed about undershooting next year, inflation will come back Risks around the inflation outlook are balanced Makhlouf reaffirms the ECB’s neutral stance here. We’ve been hearing them

Koeda joined the Bank of Japan nine-member board on March 26 this year. At each of the five policy-setting meetings she has attended so far she voted for leaving the policy rate at 0.5%. She seems to have become more hawkish in her speech today: BOJ’s Koeda signals need for further tightening as inflation holds

BOJ likely to hike in December as yen slide boosts inflation risk, Reuters poll shows White House wants Congress to oppose export-restrictions targeting Nvidia chips to China China weighs new stimulus to stabilise weakening property market. Real estate shares up. Yen could hit 160, but rising chance of intervention, economist warns FX option expiries for

In the European session, we don’t have much on the agenda other than a couple of low tier releases like the German PPI and the trade balance for Switzerland and Spain. None of the data is going to change anything for the respective central banks or the market. In the American session, all eyes will

The GBPUSD is pressing to fresh lows as markets digest a combination of UK CPI results, the BLS decision to delay the U.S. jobs report, and a clean technical breakdown. On the hourly chart, the pair has slipped below the 1.30837–1.30956 swing area, a zone that initially attracted support buyers during the European morning session.

China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged for a sixth straight month in November, in line with market expectations and reflecting policymakers’ preference for stability amid uneven economic conditions. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) — the reference for most corporate and household borrowing — remained at 3.0%, while the five-year LPR, which guides mortgage

Barclays has lifted its year-end 2026 target for the S&P 500, citing continued strength in megacap technology and support from easier monetary policy. The bank now expects the index to reach 7,400, up from its previous 7,000 call. The info comes via a Reuters piece. Barclays also raised its 2026 S&P 500 earnings forecast to

Traders/markets are bracing for Nvidia (NVDA) Q3 earnings after the close, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. With the stock heavily weighted in major indices, this report will likely dictate the short-term direction of the entire tech sector (and arguably the market). THE NUMBERS TO BEAT (Consensus Estimates): Revenue: $54.9 Billion (Implies +56% YoY growth.

China is considering a fresh round of property-market support measures as the sector’s downturn continues to threaten financial stability, according to people familiar with internal discussions. Policymakers, including the housing ministry, are reviewing proposals such as nationwide mortgage subsidies for first-time buyers, larger income-tax rebates for mortgage holders, and lower transaction costs for home purchases.

The weird thing about trading is that one of the best indications you can get is from sentiment but it’s almost always better to go against it. So much of what you’re trying to do is gauge sentiment. When markets are complacent or fearful, it’s the best point to buy. When markets are euphoric, it’s

The IMF has warned that Australia needs a sweeping tax overhaul to stabilise surging public debt, which is projected to exceed $1 trillion at the federal level alongside fast-rising state liabilities. In its annual review, the Fund called for reintroducing a mining tax, lifting the GST tax rate (GST is an Australian VAT), removing selected

The major US stock indices are closing positive on the day with the NASDAQ index the best performer. Nvidia earnings will be announced at 4:20 PM ET. Expectations are for EPS of $1.26 on revenues of $54.9 billion (click here). A snapshot of the closing levels shows: Dow industrial average rose 47 103 points or

EUR/USD • 1.1500 – €2.05bn • 1.1630 – €1.19bn • 1.1600 – €1.07bn USD/JPY • 155.00 – $1.49bn • 150.00 – $1.3bn AUD/USD • 0.6550 – AUD739.4m • 0.6500 – AUD736.7m • 0.6530 – AUD422.4m GBP/USD • 1.3250 – £679m • 1.2800 – £597.2m • 1.2750 – £567.7m NZD/USD • 0.5675 – NZD300m EUR/GBP •

It’s a sparse data calendar for the session here today. Chinese prime rates will be set by the PBoC today. LPRs are no longer as important as they once were. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) shifted its primary monetary policy tool to the seven-day reverse repurchase agreement (reverse repo) rate. This transition began in

Nvidia earning after the close. What are traders/analysts expecting? FOMC Minutes: Many indicated it’s likely be appropriate to keep the target range unchanged It’s not a good sign when they talk about an ‘everything rally’ US sells 20-year bonds at 4.706% vs 4.704% WI Ukraine peace plan would surrender Donbas and halve its armed forces

Nvidia executives struck an extraordinarily bullish tone on the company’s long-term AI outlook during the earnings call, revealing unprecedented forward visibility on next-generation chip demand while acknowledging that geopolitical frictions continue to constrain business in China. CFO Colette Kress told analysts that Nvidia currently has line-of-sight to $500 billion in Blackwell and Rubin revenue from

Australia’s central bank warned that monthly inflation data is too volatile to interpret in isolation, with RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter stressing that policymakers will “not be jumping at one month of data” as they assess whether the current 3.6% cash rate is sufficiently restrictive to steer inflation back to target. Speaking in Sydney, Hunter

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain range, called a “band,” around a central reference rate,

Australia’s banking regulator has cautioned the country’s major lenders against loosening mortgage standards as interest rates fall and competition for home loans intensifies. In a new system-wide stress test, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) found that banks and superannuation funds would be resilient even under a year-long financial shock driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation

The U.S. Commerce Department is preparing to authorise the sale of up to 70,000 advanced AI chips to government-backed technology companies in the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, marking a significant shift in Washington’s stance toward the Middle East’s fast-growing AI ambitions. Wall Street Journal (gated) with the info. The move reverses earlier resistance

The Trump administration is quietly reassessing the timing of long-promised semiconductor tariffs, with several U.S. officials privately signalling that duties may not be imposed as soon as previously indicated. Reuters carry the report. Multiple people familiar with recent conversations said the administration has adopted a more cautious stance, wary of provoking Beijing and potentially reigniting

Many participants suggested that, under their economic outlooks, it would likely be appropriate to keep the target range unchanged for the rest of the year. Most participants judged that further downward adjustments would likely be appropriate over time to move toward a neutral stance. Several participants assessed a Dec cut would be appropriate if economy

0.2 basis point tail I don’t think that’s going to move the broader market. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

The AUDUSD is pressing to fresh session lows, and in doing so has broken decisively below the 200-day moving average at 0.6458. That’s notable because the pair has not traded below the 200-day MA since October 17, making today’s move a meaningful technical development. Remaining below this long-term barometer shifts the bias more firmly in

There are more details on the 28-point peace plan the US has floated to Russia and Ukraine. It would require Ukraine to abandon the Donbass region that it still controls. The full details aren’t revealed but it would likely include all of the Donetsk region. Ukraine would also be required to cut the size of

There is going to be a forever reminder of the US government shutdown on the chart. As rumored, the BLS won’t release the October jobs report. For the establishment survey, which is the headline number in non-farm payrolls, that number for October will be included on Dec 16 when the November report is released. However

WTI crude is down $1.80 to $58.94 today and at fresh session lows. Oil has been under pressure since an earlier report that the Trump administration had been secretly consulting with Russia to draft a new plan to end the war in Ukraine. Notably, the plan seems to include a post-war framework for the relationship

The picture you’re looking at is the most-expensive modern art ever sold and the 2nd most-expensive art of any kind ever sold at auction. It’s Gustav Klimt’s portrait of Elisabeth Lederer and it sold at Sotheby’s in New York yesterday for a record $236.4 million after fees, breaking the record previously set by an Andy

In yesterday’s USDJPY video, I highlighted the upside roadmap given the strong trend bias. At the time, I noted that a break above 155.43 would open the door toward the next target at 155.88, and that a move above that level would put the key swing area near 156.73 on traders’ radar. (You can revisit

The early enthusiasm in all markets have faded. Gold has been caught in that, as a $45 gain has turned into a $10 loss, with the selling accelerating as it went red. When you zoom out, the chart continues to show consolidation right around the $4100 level. I think we might need some clarification on

Sector Overview: Winners and Losers Today’s market heatmap reveals a mixed bag of results across various sectors. Notably, the semiconductor sector has caught investors’ attention with standout performances. Nvidia (NVDA) leads the charge up 1.55%, buoying the sector’s overall gains. Meanwhile, Lam Research (LRCX) is surging by 2.34%, highlighting robust investor confidence. Conversely, the technology

The six-month annualised growth rate in the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future, moved into slightly positive territory in October, lifting to +0.35% in October from +0.10% in September. WPAC comments: Leading Index growth rate lifts to 0.35%, moving

Under the current situation, even if Japanese aquatic products are exported to China, there will be no market Japan PM Takaichi’s erroneous remarks about Taiwan have fundamentally damaged the political foundation of Sino-Japanese relations China seriously urges Japan to retract its erroneous remarks, stop creating incidents on China-related issues Urges Japan to take concrete actions

The EURUSD has fallen sharply after testing key resistance in the early U.S. session, where sellers stepped in decisively. As outlined in today’s Kickstart video, that resistance area capped the upside and sparked a reversal. The decline has now pushed the pair below the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the mid-October low at

Prior was +6413K Gasoline +2327K vs -227K exp Distillates +171K vs -1215K WTI crude oil is down $1.66 to $59.10 today on hopes for a Ukraine-Russia peace and after Russia’s top oil companies said that sanctions haven’t affected exports. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Google is winning. Almost two years ago, Google unveiled Bard and it was a flop with shares falling 9% in a day. The company was on the defensive as the market panicked that its once-unpenetrable search moat was going to be unmoored by AI. The struggles continued and from January of this year to April,

Another disappointing earnings report from Target begs two questions: Is this a sign that US consumers are weak? Or that Target isn’t executing? On the first point, it comes after Home Depot shares were beaten up yesterday on a soft report. With Home Depot, the company blamed the lack of hurricanes and other storms in

The USDCHF continues its upward push that began at the start of the week, with Monday marking the low. The move extended yesterday and carried into today as price returned to a key technical cluster defined by the 200-bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 0.7994, the 50% midpoint of the November range at 0.8000,

Smallest trade deficit of the year Prior was $78.3 billion (revised to $78.2B) This is ancient history but it should lead to a slight tick up in Q3 GDP trackers. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Google shares are up 6.5% today and trading at an all time high. I wrote about why earlier today. This week, I also wrote about why Nvidia is a bubble and Gemini 3 being trained with Google’s own chips adds to that argument. I see two paths from here: Google Gemini 3 proved that ‘there

In the kickstart video, I take a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD by applying certain technical tools that help traders define the bias, risk and targets. Those three things are essential to traders success. Today, the 3 major currencies are mixed vs the USD. The EUR is little changed, the JPY is

Ethereum Futures Analysis for Today with tradeCompass (November 19, 2025) Bullish above: 3108 Bearish below: 3065 Primary bias: Bearish at current price Current price: 3033 Partial targets: Listed separately under each scenario Visit our Telegram Channel at https://t.me/investingLiveStocks Market Context and Directional Bias Ethereum futures are hovering around the psychologically important 3000 round number. Many

Via oilprice.com: — Expectations I had seen centred on: Headline crude -0.6 mn barrels Distillates -1.2 mn bbls Gasoline -0.2 mn — This data point is from a privately-conducted survey by the American Petroleum Institute (API). It’s a survey of oil storage facilities and companies The official report is due Wednesday morning US time. Shut

The USDCAD spent yesterday grinding lower, breaking through one support level after another until finally reaching a familiar ceiling-turned-floor from early October (red circles on the chart). In my late-day video, I noted that the pair appeared to have reached its final support zone between 1.3968 and 1.3975, and that a reclaim of the 61.8%

1. Let’s take a look at the NVDA options sentiment tool and it actually measures Today I look key NVDA option trades for the day (yesterday, actually, it is the most recent date where the options data is final and ready) and translating them into an equivalent number of NVDA shares. If someone buys a

Some positive info for Japan’s economy. Admittedly from a couple of months back: Japan Core Machinery Orders for September 2025 +11.6% y/y expected +5.4%, prior +1.6% +4.2% m/m expected +2.0%, prior -0.9%) This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Fundamental Overview The USD performance has been mixed in the past days but still on net negative despite the decreasing December rate cut odds. It looks like the stock market is what has been driving all other markets. In fact, when the stock market had positive days, we’ve seen Treasury yields and the US dollar

Held meeting from perspective of maintaining close Government and BoJ coordination Held meeting on my request to confirm cooperation under the new administration Reaffirmed closely monitoring market Reconfirmed technical tweak to BoJ-Government joint statement, no change to substance No specific discussion on FX BoJ Ueda explained current policy stance Reaffirmed need for Government-BoJ to work

Set to deliver the most advanced and adaptive Agentic AI platform to power SLG, PLG and consumption-based GTM motions DealHub.io, the leader in Agentic enterprise-grade CPQ, today announced the acquisition of Subskribe, the industry’s most advanced Subscription Management, consumption metering and Billing platform built for the AI economy. The unified platform redefines how SaaS and

President Trump signalled he has likely settled on his preferred candidate for the next Federal Reserve chair, telling reporters in the Oval Office, “I think I already know my choice,” though he declined to say who it is. The Wall Street Journal with the snippet. Adding: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has been conducting interviews with

Looking at the rest of the data for this week: Wednesday, November 19 8:30 AM US International trade in goods and services. Estimate -$61.3 billion versus -$78.3 billion Thursday, November 20 8:30 AM ET Nonfarm payroll estimate 55K. Unemployment rate estimate 4.3% 8:30 AM ET Initial jobs claims 10 AM ET. Existing home sales. Estimate

Tesla received a ride-hailing permit this week from Arizona regulators opening the door for the automaker to begin operating a robotaxi service in the state Tesla applied for permit on November 13 Tesla met the requirements to operate as a TNC and is permitted as of November 17 permit is the final regulatory step to

Trump hitting up the socials, posting on AI investment, and then going off on some tangent: Investment in AI is helping to make the U.S. Economy the “HOTTEST” in the World — But overregulation by the States is threatening to undermine this Growth Engine. Some States are even trying to embed DEI ideology into AI

Market index 316.9 vs 334.2 prior Purchase index 168.7 vs 172.7 prior Refinance index 1156.8 vs 1247.5 prior 30-year mortgage rate 6.37% vs 6.34% prior This is never a market moving release. Mortgage applications are generally inversely correlated to mortgage rates. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

China intends to renew a ban on Japanese seafood imports AUD, kiwi, CAD all losing ground against the USD Tesla received a ride-hailing permit from Arizona, opening the door to begin robotaxi BOJ may delay rate hike until March as advisers urge caution on weak economy ICYMI: BoE sets out plans for regulated sterling stablecoins

US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 14 November -5.2% vs +0.6% prior USDJPY extends gains above the 156.00 handle as Japanese officials keep the dovish stance Eurozone September final CPI +2.1% vs +2.1% y/y prelim Japan Finance Minister: Held meeting on maintaining close Govt, BoJ coordination Traders add to BoE rate cut bets after the UK

The USDJPY pair has extended the gains above the 156.00 handle following Japan Finance Minister Katayama’s remarks earlier in the session here. Her comments put further downward pressure on the JPY as BoJ rate hike hopes continue to dwindle. The market is still pricing a 25% probability for a December cut, but that’s unlikely to

EUR/USD 1.1600 (EUR 1.40bn) USD/JPY 153.00 (US$ 1.26bn) GBP/USD 1.3200 (GBP 407.6mn) 1.3100 (GBP 520.2mn) AUD/USD 0.6500 (AUD 640.1mn) 0.6300 (AUD 445.6mn) NZD/USD 0.5730 (NZD 434.5mn) For more information on how to use this data, you may refer to this post here. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

November 2025: OneRoyal is pleased to announce a strategic collaboration with Acuity Trading, integrating Acuity’s advanced AI-driven trading signals and its Dynamic Email platform into our trading environment. With this upgrade, OneRoyal traders now gain access to Acuity Trading’s fully automated AI trade signals, which analyse real-time sentiment, volatility and historical data across FX, indices,

Following the UK CPI report, traders increased the BoE easing bets with the December cut probabilities rising to 85% vs 80% before the data release. By the end of 2026, the market sees 63 bps of easing compared to 59 bps before the inflation data. We haven’t seen big moves in GBP following the data

A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows: Trump approval rating falls 38% which is the lowest since returning to the White House 26% of Americans approve of Trump’s handling of cost-of-living 70% say that government is hiding Epstein client info. Pres. Trump is meeting with the Saudi Crown Prince and an ABC reporter first asked about the Trump

New Zealand third quarter producer price rises not as fast as expected Data from Stats NZ. New Zealand PPI Outputs +0.6% q/q expected 0.7%, prior 0.6% Inputs 0.2% q/q expected 0.9%, prior 0.6% Slower wholesale inflation will be welcomed by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The bank is continuing on its easing cycle in

We’ve had data from New Zealand earlier: New Zealand Q3 PPI: Outputs +0.6% (+0.7% expected) Inputs +0.2% (expected +0.9%) Nothing there to deter the RBNZ from further easing. Not bullish for kiwi. We’ve had data from Oz also: Australia data – Wage Price Index for Q3 2025: 0.8% q/q (expected 0.8%) The data was in

Bessent was interviewed on Fox ‘news’. He was asked if the checks Trump will be sending out to Americans for $2000 would be inflationary. Bessent answered that “Maybe we can persuade Americans to save that”. Idiotic answer. The thing is, Bessent is not an idiot. Slimy politician, yes. There you have it folks. Further inflation

In line results. Q3 2025 Wage Price Index 0.8% (QoQ) expected 0.8%, prior 0.8% 3.4% y/y expected 3.4%, prior 3.4% — The September quarter (Q3) is notable in Australia as its when a significant share of wage increases occur: Award/Minimum wages adjustments are made annually by Australia’s Fair Work Commission (FWC) The FWC granted a

Prior +2.2% Core CPI +2.4% vs +2.4% y/y prelim Prior +2.4% The final figures confirm the preliminary estimates, so nothing to see here. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

Nvidia will close out the Magnificent Seven earnings season when it reports third-quarter results after the bell on November 19, with markets bracing for what could be the most consequential update yet on the durability of the AI boom. Expectations are sky-high: consensus forecasts already sit above Nvidia’s own guidance, leaving unusually little room for

Goldman Sachs expects oil prices to drift lower over the next two years as a wave of new supply hits the market, pushing the global balance into a persistent surplus. In a note published Monday, the bank said it sees a roughly 2 million barrels per day oversupply through 2026, driven by the delayed arrival

Kyodo reports that Japan’s upcoming economic stimulus package is expected to exceed ¥20 trillion, with a supplementary budget of roughly ¥17 trillion planned to finance the measures. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Bank of England Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Sarah Breeden told attendees at the SALT conference that the central bank is preparing a consultation paper on regulating sterling-denominated systemic stablecoins. ICYMI: The paper, first flagged in a BoE announcement on 10 November, sets out how these digital tokens — designed to maintain a stable value

Foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries softened in September as overseas investors trimmed their holdings for the first time in six months, newly released Treasury Department data show. The figures were delayed by the federal government’s 43-day shutdown, with the October report now slated for 18 December. Overall foreign Treasury holdings slipped to $9.249 trillion in

Prior +3.8% Core CPI +3.4% vs +3.4% y/y expected Prior +3.5% Services CPI +4.5 vs 4.6% y/y expected Prior +4.7% The figures are in line with expectations, except the services measure which was lower than expected. The market was already pricing an 80% probability of a rate cut in December, so the data is not

The Japanese yen continues to divide opinion among global investors. Bank of America’s latest fund manager survey shows sentiment turning more constructive on the currency’s longer-term prospects, with 30% of respondents expecting the yen to outperform in 2026, making it the most favoured asset ahead of gold. The survey suggests a belief that Japan’s policy

Japanese media, Jiji, is reporting that Bank of Japan Governor Ueda, Japanese Finance Minister Katayama, and Japanese Economy Minister Kiuchi will be having a meeting today, Wednesday, November 19, 2025. 0910 GMT 04:10 US Eastern time Katayama is then expected to speak to media at 0930 GMT. A 20 minute meeting? How much do they

A senior adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi says the Bank of Japan is unlikely to raise interest rates before March, arguing policymakers must first confirm that a major fiscal package is lifting domestic demand. Goushi Kataoka — a former BOJ board member and now part of Takaichi’s economic strategy panel — told Bloomberg

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain range, called a “band,” around a central reference rate,

People’s Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate

Kyodo report. Yen losing some ground on this. – Frosty relations between China and Japan were prompted by new Japan PM Takaichi making comments on Taiwan a couple of weeks ag0. China reacted with fury and it hasn’t let up. Yesterday: investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: BOJ Governor Ueda to meet with PM Takaichi later

In the European session, the main highlight is going to be the UK CPI report. The CPI Y/Y is expected at 3.6% vs 3.8% prior (same as BoE’s forecast), while the Core CPI Y/Y is seen at 3.4% vs 3.5% prior. Governor Bailey placed more emphasis on inflation regarding his decision on a December cut,

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will meet on Wednesday with Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama and Economic Revitalisation Minister Minoru Kiuchi, the Ministry of Finance announced. Katayama is scheduled to brief reporters at around 6:30 p.m. (0930 GMT) following the discussions. The meeting comes just a day after Ueda held talks with Prime Minister Sanae

Axios with the report, in brief: The Trump administration has been quietly coordinating with Russia on a new proposal aimed at ending the war in Ukraine, according to U.S. and Russian officials who spoke with Axios. The significance: The 28-point U.S. framework draws heavily on President Trump’s recent success brokering a deal in Gaza. A

Australia’s Wage Price Index (WPI) has come in exactly in line with expectations: Australia data – Wage Price Index for Q3 2025: 0.8% q/q (expected 0.8%) Not only in line with market expectations but those from the Reserve Bank of Australia as well. AUD/USD is hardly moved. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at

The USDCAD has continued it’s move to the downside (see earlier post here), and in the process moved below the 1.4000 level, the 61.8% retracement level I.39837, and into a swing area between 1.3968 and 1.3975 where buyers have now stepped in. Is the low in? In the video above I take a look at

The White House announced a series of major agreements between the United States and Saudi Arabia, marking a significant expansion in defense, trade, technology and strategic cooperation. Officials said both countries have committed to intensifying their engagement on trade issues in the coming weeks, signalling renewed momentum in the bilateral economic relationship. Saudi Arabia to

Army Secretary Dan Driscoll and chief of staff Gen. Randy George visited Ukraine on an unannounced tri The news comes as the U.S. moves to find a way to speed the end of the war: Axios says the U.S. is secretly drafting new plan to end Ukraine war The duo are slated to meet with

US stocks close lower. Midday rally runs out of steam UK media reports that Reeves will consider ‘shielding’ small businesses from tax rises BLS :US PPI to be released on November 25 Reuters Poll: Trump approval rating falls to 38%. His lowest since returning to the WH USDCAD Technicals: USDCAD falls through 61.8% retracement and

The UK Times (gated) with the report that UK Chancellor Reeves is considering measures to shield small businesses and the self employed from tax rises. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Deutsche Bank says gold’s role as a portfolio diversifier remains intact, even as its traditional negative correlation with risk assets has become less reliable in recent years. In a new note, the bank argues that official-sector buying, not financial-market positioning, continues to be the dominant force supporting bullion prices. Analysts expect central banks and reserve

Bank of America’s November global fund manager survey shows most investors expect the euro to end 2026 stronger but still within familiar territory. Nearly half (48%) see EUR/USD finishing in a $1.10–$1.20 range, roughly in line with today’s 1.1587 level. Another 30% expect a push higher into the $1.20–$1.30 band. Very few investors foresee a

None of this is likely to move markets around too much upon release. The wages data from Australia will be of interest to the RBA. Officials at the Bank have realised that inflation is sticky high, an acceleration in wages beyond the Q2 result and/or beyoined estiamtes will be troublesome for them. This snapshot from

The major stock indices are closing lower on the day after stalling during a midday rally. Each of the 3 major indices stayed in in negative territory for the entire day. A snapshot of the closing levels shows: Dow industrial average -498.50 points or -1.07% at 46091.74. At session highs, the index was still down

Maybe the market was more anxious about an election in Canada than we thought? It’s tough to pin down why the loonie is such a standout performer today. It’s easily the strongest G10 performer today up 0.6%, doubling the Australian dollar’s gain. It’s not a huge move but it drops the US dollar to the

This is good news on the trade front, but Trump also said he would tell Bessent that he wants China to speed up the pace of farm buying. So it’s not really clear what’s happening but Trump sounds happy so that’s good news. US stocks are well off the lows, with the S&P 500 down

Google is now winning the AI war. There has been something of a hype campaign around the release of Gemini 3 but people were skeptical. We have seen this before from OpenAI where they constantly hint that a new model is revolutionary and then release it and it’s not. So when Google was doing the

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will hold his first formal bilateral meeting with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on Tuesday, a high-stakes encounter that may offer clues on how soon the BOJ resumes its rate-hike cycle. The meeting comes as the yen weakens to a nine-month low, prompting fresh concern from the finance minister about

Trump said he’s started Fed chair interviews but that “I think we already know the choice for Fed chair”. With that, he also said they have some surprising names for Fed chair and “we may go the standard way”. That last detail is good news if you like stability. Who would that mean though? Waller?

Goldman Sachs extended its oil outlook to 2035 and the message is simple: brace for a dip before the next leg higher. We still forecast Brent/WTI to decline to 2026 averages of $56/52 (vs. $63/60 forwards) as the last big supply wave keeps the market in surplus. But we think oil prices will pick up

The S&P 500 today touched the lowest since October 15 but has embarked on a strong turnaround. From the low of 6659, it’s climbed to 6655, a nearly 100 point rebound. Despite that, the index is still down 15 points, or 0.2%. Three things may have been catalysts: Google releasing Gemini 3 and its looks

The US stock indices are tumbling lower with all the major indices down over 1.25%. The NASDAQ index is leading the way with a fall of -1.83% at 22,296. The Dow industrial average is down -1.35% and the S&P is down 1.26%. Looking at the daily chart of the NASDAQ index, it has moved away

The early New York trade seemingly always leads to some kind of move in gold but you never know which way. Lately we’ve been seeing sellers and yesterday and sank on the risk rout but today there are some nice bids creeping in. Gold is up $25 to $4069, which erases the late slide yesterday.

Bank of America is out with its fund manager survey and this chart stands out. It highlights how cash levels are at worrisome levels. “Cash levels of 3.7% or lower has occurred 20 times since 2002, & on every occasion stocks fell and Treasuries outperformed in the following 1-3 months,” Bank of America writes. The

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he firmly supports another quarter-point rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting, arguing the U.S. labour market has weakened enough to justify further easing. Waller—seen as a leading candidate to become the next Fed chair—said surveys, employer contacts and private-sector indicators all point to a job market “near stall

Fundamental Overview The USD performance has been mixed in the past days but still on net negative despite the decreasing December rate cut odds. It looks like the stock market is what has been driving all other markets. In fact, when the stock market had positive days, we’ve seen Treasury yields and the US dollar

Barkin is a good barometer for the core of the Fed: Inflation is above target but isn’t likely to increase due to consumer push-back and productivity increases Job growth is down but labor supply is also slowing There is a lot to learn between now and Dec 10 Fed meeting The market is back to

The USDJPY is pushing to fresh highs after holding firm support near the 155.00 level earlier in the US session. That zone remains the key risk and bias defining level for today and in the sessions ahead. The latest move higher has taken the pair above the earlier intraday peak at 155.43, putting focus on

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Bitcoin is continuing its down trend in Asia on Tuesday, dropping under $91,000 for the first time in six months. The crypto is not the only asset losing ground, with diminishing prospects for a December Federal Reserve rate cut and concerns over AI foremost in the market’s mind. investingLive Americas FX news wrap 17 Nov:The

The USDCHF is trading higher and holding near its session highs, and in the process is testing a key technical barrier: the 38.2% retracement of the decline from the November high to last week’s low. That retracement level sits at 0.79715, and a break above it would open the door for a push toward a

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain range, called a “band,” around a central reference rate,

It’s just the first attempt though. Amid the more dour market mood as market players are selling everything on the deleveraging, the pressure is still very much on. But for now, dip buyers are certainly making it known where they want to draw a hard line on the latest dip in gold. If there is

Multi-asset broker Versus Trade has successfully obtained the SEC-2.1B Investment Dealer license from the Mauritius Financial Services Commission, marking a pivotal regulatory achievement for the rapidly expanding platform. The license was granted in September 2025 and can be independently verified through the FSC’s public registry. The regulatory approval comes during a remarkable year for Versus

Markets have been struggling across virtually every major asset class since mid-October, according to Deutsche Bank, with both risk assets and traditional safe havens caught in a broad-based pullback. Bitcoin is down 24% from its recent peak, and the S&P 500 has notched its longest stretch without a record high since the “Liberation Day” turbulence

After nearly 5 years of inflation above target, when does underlying inflation actually fall to target? More from Pill: Policymakers should be cautious about over-interpreting latest changes in key data We have not seen the moderation in key nominal data that we would have expected in the past Wage growth is still substantially above what

The USDCAD has stepped consistently lower in the European and early North American session after consolidating just below topside resistance between 1.4060 and 1.40668. On the run to the downside, the price fell below the Broken 38.2% retracement of the move up from the end of October low to the November high at 1.40433 The

Federal Reserve Waller Q&A now: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller continued his heavy run of commentary, warning that labour-market weakness remains the dominant concern and reinforcing his case for further policy easing. He said that if the job market were to show a meaningful rebound, the need for additional “insurance” cuts would diminish — but

Prior was 37 Current single family home sales 41 vs 38 prior Prospective buyers 26 vs 25 prior The housing market is struggling with +6% US 30-year fixed rates. January lumber prices cratered recently. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

The U.S. stock market is seeing a contrasting day of trading as tech giants face challenges, whereas consumer electronics sees green pastures. Investors are advised to stay vigilant as sector dynamics continue to evolve sharply. 🔍 Sector Overview 🚨 Technology: The technology sector is under noticeable pressure with notable decliners such as Microsoft (MSFT) down

Prior was 279.2K This is a sharp slowdown from September levels. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Prior was -1.3% Durable goods orders unrevised at +2.9% Note that this is data for August so it’s ancient history. It will take awhile to catch up because of the US government shutdown. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Several websites, including X, are reporting problems due to issues with Cloudflare. Cloudflare is an internet infrastructure company that supports thousands of websites. It’s reported that it’s an “internal server error on Cloudflare’s network”. Cloudflare is investigating the issue. Shares of the comany (ticker NET) dropped in pre-market and are now trading 3% lower. This

The US stocks are lower. The USD yields are lower. The USD is mixed (but little changed) vs the major currency pairs to kickstart the US/North American session. In the video, I kickstart the US trading session by looking at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD from a technical perspective. What are the roadmaps for traders

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will launch tax-reform talks this week aimed at cutting fuel taxes to support households while identifying offsetting revenue measures to protect fiscal discipline. The ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner will debate next-year’s tax package, including the already-agreed scrapping of gasoline and diesel surcharges — a move that

The Reserve Bank of Australia signalled a more balanced policy stance in the minutes of its November 3–4 meeting, saying it could keep the cash rate unchanged for longer if incoming data proves stronger than expected, even as it still sees scenarios where further easing may be required. The board judged the current 3.6% cash

Prior week -11,250 For the four weeks ending Nov. 1, 2025, private employers shed an average of 2,500 jobs a week as employment losses slowed heading into November. The initial report weekly showed a healthy +14,250 jobs gain. The report will be published weekly except during the week when the monthly ADP numbers are released

Google is one of the bright spots in stock markets today, as it rallies 2.8% following filing’s showing the Berkshire Hathaway took a $5 billion stake in the third quarter. There are also strong rumors that Google is about to launch something amazing with Gemini 3, potentially taking a big lead in the AI space.

This builds on their previous note from last week here. Goldman Sachs is noting that the Japanese yen is likely to drop further in the near-term but sees limited upside in USD/JPY as intervention risks continue to rise. For the time being at least, the firm argues that “the usual prerequisites for intervention are not

Yen has room to drop further but intervention risks cap USD/JPY upside – Goldman Sachs US initial claims 232K and continuing claims 1957K in the week ending October 18 European indices see red at the open as risk stays pressured BofA FMS: AI bubble biggest tail risk for 45% of respondents Gold clips the $4,000

More from Fed’s Waller: A rebound in labor market would maybe mean no need for cuts Fed’s Waller says supports a 25bp rate cut at the December 9/10 meeting Fed’s Waller continues to make the case for cutting rates in December Trump says he would be ok with launching strikes against Mexico to stop drugs

People’s Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate

A lawyer for Fed Governor Lisa Cook wrote a letter to teh Attorney General on MOnday as she fights to keep her job. According to AP: Cook’s attorney, Abbe Lowell, wrote that the case against Cook largely rests on “one stray reference” in a 2021 mortgage document that was “plainly innocuous in light of the

Changelly is bringing Black Friday to the crypto market with its 2025 campaign, offering users record-low crypto purchase fees and exclusive rewards. The campaign is powered by Topper by Uphold, featuring the guaranteed lowest fees of 2025. Until November 30, users can buy crypto with up to 75% lower fees and enter a giveaway to

China has released initial price guidance for its latest euro-denominated sovereign bond issuance, with a term sheet showing plans to raise €4 billion across two maturities. Investors were guided to a 4-year tranche at mid-swaps +28 bps and a 7-year tranche at mid-swaps +38 bps, according to documents reviewed by Reuters. This marks Beijing’s continued

Fed’s Waller says weak labour market justifies another rate cut in December – recap Morgan Stanley lifts S&P 500 target to 7,800 as earnings and dovish Fed drive bull case Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will meet with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi today Bitcoin has dropped under US$91K for the first time in half

Investors say companies ‘overinvesting’ for the first time in 20 years Long Mag 7 most crowded trade for 54% of respondents Emerging markets and banks most vulnerable to proper Q4 risk-off move Froth to correct further without Fed December rate cut Bullish positioning a headwind not tailwind for risk assets Very low 3.7% cash levels

Fundamental Overview The USD performance has been mixed in the past days but still on net negative despite the decreasing December rate cut odds. It looks like the stock market is what has been driving all other markets. In fact, when the stock market had positive days, we’ve seen Treasury yields and the US dollar

Welp, that won’t go down well with Beijing. That especially since this was Kihara’s reply when questioned on whether or not the government has plans to retract Takaichi’s remarks on the Taiwan issue. And so, the political fist fight looks set to continue for longer. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller signalled firm support for another quarter-point interest-rate cut at the December 9–10 FOMC meeting, arguing that the U.S. labour market has lost momentum and the economy is slowing. Speaking in London, Waller said the “wealth of private and public-sector data” available during the 43-day government shutdown shows the job market

Will decide monetary policy while scrutinising various data Told prime minister that BOJ is adjusting degree of monetary support to stably achieve 2% inflation Discussed on FX but won’t comment on the details of that It is desirable for FX to move stably reflecting fundamentals, watching impact of market moves on the economy As you

In the European session, we don’t have anything on the agenda other than a couple of ECB speakers who are going to repeat the same old stuff. In the American session, the main highlight is the weekly US ADP jobs data. Last week, we got a soft number at -11,250 in the week ending October

Goldman Sachs says central banks appear to have stepped up their gold purchases sharply in November, reinforcing a powerful and ongoing official-sector bid that has been a key pillar of the metal’s bull market. The bank estimates that roughly 64 tonnes of central-bank gold demand occurred in September, and early indicators suggest November buying may

Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama is “alarmed” over FX moves. Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama said the government’s stimulus package has grown sizable, though she would not reveal its scale, and argued that negative GDP growth justifies additional fiscal support. On currencies, struck a more pointed tone, is “alarmed” about recent forex moves recently seeing one-sided, rapid

U.S. soybean futures surged to their highest level in more than a year on Monday, lifted by a wave of buying from China’s state-owned grain trader COFCO after the latest U.S.–China trade agreement. Reuters cite traders saying COFCO purchased at least 14 cargoes — roughly 840,000 tonnes — for December and January shipment, marking China’s

Eurostoxx -1.3% Germany DAX -1.2% France CAC 40 -1.5% UK FTSE -1.0% Spain IBEX -1.5% Italy FTSE MIB -1.7% This week has been a real setback for European indices with the drop since yesterday now wiping out the entire gains in November and then some. Investors remain on edge as we see the risk selloff

Initial claims 232K Continuing claims 1957K Data here It looks like the Department of Labor is starting to release the missed weekly claims data. This is of course old news, but it shows that conditions in the labour market haven’t changed much. We should get the most recent data on Thursday. This article was written

Perhaps not outright but surely she gave him plenty of subtle, or maybe not so subtle, hints on what she wants. I mean, it’s not like she has been trying to hide it to the public anyway either. So, yeah. “No request”, eh? *wink* *wink* This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

As a reminder, the pair had met just last week at a government panel meeting. But this time around, it looks to be a more focused meeting with it surely going to be disguised as one that discusses “economic and market developments”. Amid the selloff in Japanese bonds as traders and investors digest Takaichi’s fiscal

There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below. That being for AUD/USD at the 0.6500 mark. The expiries don’t tie to much technical significance and amid the focus on risk sentiment this week, they shouldn’t be much of a factor in terms of driving price action.

Morgan Stanley expects the euro to strengthen against a softer U.S. dollar in the first half of 2026, but warns those gains are unlikely to last. In its year-ahead FX outlook, the bank says the European Central Bank may face pressure to deliver additional rate cuts, taking the deposit rate down to 1.5% from 2.0%,

Fundamental Overview The USD performance has been mixed in the past days but still on net negative despite the decreasing December rate cut odds. It looks like the stock market is what has been driving all other markets. In fact, when the stock market had positive days, we’ve seen Treasury yields and the US dollar

The precious metal now looks poised to make it four straight days of losses, down 0.8% today to $4,011 currently. It comes as we see some further signs of deleveraging in markets, with some pointing to easing Fed rate cut bets. While that may be true as Fed funds futures now only price in ~42%

German DAX futures -1.4% UK FTSE futures -1.3% It’s starting to look rough out there again with S&P 500 futures down 0.8% and Nasdaq futures down 1.0% currently. After the selloff in Wall Street, we’re seeing the risk rout deepen today and European equities are not spared that as well after the pain from yesterday.

JPMorgan says global wait times for Apple’s iPhone 17 lineup remain significantly longer than normal, signalling that demand continues to outpace supply well into the product cycle. In its latest weekly tracker, the bank notes that average lead times in Week 10 are around seven days, compared with just two days at the same stage

Barclays warns that Brent crude could surge above $85 a barrel if Russian oil exports decline sharply, arguing that markets are underestimating how vulnerable prices remain to supply-side shocks. The bank’s analysis stands in stark contrast to most 2026 forecasts, which cluster in the mid-$50s to mid-$60s and assume a smooth rebalancing of global supply

Wall Street had a bad showing yesterday and that is carrying over to today as the risk selloff continues to run to start the new week. Tech shares were feeling heavy with Nvidia dropping by nearly 2%, while Bitcoin is facing heavy selling after a break under $100,000. The cryptocurrency is now dropping to test

The big argument you hear from Nvidia bulls and bulls on the AI trade in general is that ‘this isn’t the dot-com bubble’. Their proof is compelling on the surface and it’s that Nvidia is profitable. They’re printing money in a way that’s rarely been seen before. It’s true but this is a classic case

Morgan Stanley has turned more bullish on U.S. equities, with chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson lifting his 12-month S&P 500 target to 7,800, up from 7,200 previously. The new target reflects Wilson’s view that a new bull market began in April. Wilson argues that earnings growth, improving operating leverage, firmer pricing power, and AI-driven

If you think that bitcoin is the canary in the risk appetite coal mine, then there’s a problem. There is a strong correlation between bitcoin and the Nasdaq, with chipmakers particularly levered. Lately, there has been a disconnect but it could just been bitcoin leading. Part of the thinking on the bitcoin correlation is that

HSBC says fears of an AI-driven market bubble are misplaced and that the odds favour a year-end “melt-up” in equities rather than a correction. Chief multi-asset strategist Max Kettner wrote that many investor pushbacks centre on supposed early warning signs, the “canaries in the coalmine”, but HSBC sees far fewer risks than the market narrative

Morgan Stanley expects the U.S. dollar to weaken through the first half of 2026 before stabilising later in the year, according to its latest year-ahead FX outlook. The bank forecasts the DXY dollar index to drop from around 99.45 today to 94.00 by mid-2026, reflecting a period of elevated risk premium tied to concerns over

It’s a sparse calendar for the session here: The minutes are for the early November meeting. The Reserve Bank of Australia left its cash rate on hold. From the day: investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: RBA holds. USD dollar firmer, but yen recovers RBA governor Bullock: We are not moved by outside commentary on policy

There has been some mild selling in the Mexican peso as Trump just casually mused about bombing the US neighbour. For context, he was asked about launching strikes against Mexico to stop drugs, he said “Ok with me.” Trump also said he wasn’t happy with Mexico. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama said the government’s upcoming economic stimulus package has become “sizable,” but declined to disclose its exact scale. His comments suggest the package has expanded as ministries finalise measures aimed at supporting households and sustaining the recovery. However, Katayama signalled the government is not yet ready to commit publicly to a figure,

China’s Premier Li Qiang met Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin in Moscow on Monday, with both sides signalling a push to deepen economic and cultural ties. According to Xinhua, Li said China is ready to expand cooperation with Russia across investment, energy and agriculture, and invited greater volumes of high-quality Russian agricultural and food products

Says he supports a quarter- point cut in December Wealth of data pains ‘actionable picture’ of economy despite delay in official data Dour consumer sentiment lines up with reports of slackening demand Labor market weak, near stall speed Unlikely that any upcoming data including jobs report would change his view that another cut is in

Global equities may look expensive, but Goldman Sachs expects returns to remain resilient over the next decade, driven primarily by earnings growth and steady shareholder payouts. In a new outlook, Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman’s chief global equity strategist, forecasts 7.7% annualised USD returns worldwide, underpinned by nominal GDP growth, profitability and distributions. Goldman breaks out expected

Japan’s Economy Minister Kiuchi said there has been no change in the government’s assessment that the economy is “improving moderately,” even after the release of the latest third-quarter GDP figures. He reiterated that long-term interest rates are ultimately determined by the market and stressed that authorities are monitoring financial conditions closely, including movements in longer-dated

Super for the shorts! U.S. equities ended lower. The S&P 500 unofficially closed down 65.91 points, a drop of about 0.98%, finishing near 6,668. The Nasdaq fell about 0.9%, closing near 22,691. The Dow Jones dropped roughly 1.2%, finishing around 46,570 across the two unofficial readings shown. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at

At pretty much any point since the Liberation Day lows, the market was acting differently. Yes, there would be dips (usually in a reaction to tariff or other political news) and then it would stabilize and the dip buying started. Once the rally started, momentum took over. That hasn’t been the case lately. Since late

The lesson of the trade war so far — unfortunately — is that the US is going to get away with it. When Europe folded on retaliation and essentially accepted 15% US tariffs, that was the ballgame. It was the only bloc with enough buying power to stand up to the US and fight for

Sector Overview The stock market today reflects a mixed bag of performances across various sectors. The Technology sector is facing a downturn with semiconductor stocks particularly hit hard. Nvidia (NVDA) slumped by 2.70%, reflecting investor concerns over potential supply chain issues and demand fluctuations. Similarly, AMD is down by 2.15%, contributing to the prevailing bearish

The NZDUSD is trading up and down in trading today. On the topside, the price has found willing sellers between the 38.2% of the move down from the end of October high. and the high of a swing area at 0.5691. On the downside, the 100 and the 200 hour MAs between 0.5652 to 0.5665

Samsung lifts memory-chip prices up to 60% as AI-driven shortage intensifies Japan’s JGB yield rise sparks alarm, but fears of a global liquidity shock are overblown China cracks down on “zero-mileage” auto exports used to inflate sales and claim tax perks RBA’s Fry-McKibbin rejects claims review urged equal weighting of inflation and jobs Japan 2026

The USDCAD has been trapped in a relatively tight range over the past two trading days, with well-defined levels containing the price action. On the downside, support is anchored by the 50% retracement of the move up from the late-October low at 1.40135, reinforced by the 100-hour moving average at 1.40174. On the topside, resistance

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has taken a significant new stake in Alphabet, revealing a $4.3 billion position that made the Google parent its 10th-largest equity holding at the end of Q3, according to its latest regulatory filing. The move stands out given Buffett’s longstanding caution toward high-growth technology companies, even though Apple — a long-time

Bitcoin has now fallen about 26% from its October all-time high, extending the corrective move lower. Last Friday, the price broke decisively below a key technical zone that included the 38.2% retracement at $96,975 and a prior swing area near $98,240. A rising trendline also cuts through that region, adding to its importance as a

This chart shows the whole history of the euro, since its inception. It’s charted against the yen and just now touched a fresh all-time high at 180.01. We’re used to thinking of the euro as something of a basketcase because of the dysfuction in eurozone policymaking, particularly at the political level but in these terms,

US Secretary of State Rubio says his State Department: intends to designate Cartel de los Soles as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO). Headed by the illegitimate Nicolás Maduro, the group has corrupted the institutions of government in Venezuela and is responsible for terrorist violence conducted by and with other designated FTOs as well as for

Japanese officials won’t like the continued weakening of the yen. There were buy stops in the past few minutes as it cracked 155.00 for the first time since February and the momentum has continued to 155.25. On Friday, the pair dipped on risk aversion only to completely recover alongside stock markets. Today, it’s also stocks

Nasdaq Technical Analysis for Today with tradeCompass (Conditional Long and Short Structure) Nasdaq futures begin the session inside a wide, unstable range, and today’s tradeCompass layout introduces two conditional setups. These conditions help filter out noise and align trades with cleaner directional confirmation, which has been essential this week given how quickly equities have surged

The market got something of a lift late on Friday as Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a stake in Google. That’s helped to lift its shares 3.3% and there continues to be heavy rumors of a blockbuster Gemini 3 release around Nov 22. Elsewhere though, the picture is less-pretty. The market is feeling angst about Wednesday’s Nvidia

The USDJPY is breaking higher, trading at its highest level since February 2025. The pair cleared last week’s high at 155.04, with the current price holding near 155.25, reinforcing the bullish momentum. Earlier in the session, buyers leaned on the rising 100-hour moving average, which helped define the low and gave the market a green

Prior was -0.1% This is ancient history but this is the first bite into the backlog from the government shutdown. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Fundamental Overview The uncertainty about a December cut has been putting a lid on further stock market gains. The probability for a December cut is now a bit below 50%. It’s still basically a 50/50 chance, but we will likely need soft labour market or inflation data to get the Fed to cut at the

Prior was +2.4% CPI m/m +0.2% vs +0.2% expected (prior +0.1%) Core measures CPI Bank of Canada core y/y 2.9% vs 2.8% prior CPI Bank of Canada core m/m +0.3% vs +0.3% prior Core CPI m/m SA +0.3% vs +0.3% prior Trim 3.0% versus 3.0% expected (prior was 3.1%) Median 2.9% versus 3.1% expected (prior

Prior +1.6% HICP +1.3% vs +1.3% y/y prelim Prior +1.8% Slight delay in the release by the source. Core annual inflation is seen dropping slightly to 1.9%, down from 2.0% in September. But as mentioned previously, the main sticking point for the ECB is still mostly Germany. This article was written by Justin Low at

Mann is always hawkish so I wouldn’t be bothered by this comment. Cable is up 4 pips to 1.3175 today. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

Japanese Government Bond yields are on the rise again. 10-year JGB yield climbs to highest since 2008 20-Year JGB yield climbs to highest level since 1999 Neither of these are overly positive for global money liqudiity, but the fear mongering from the usual social media suspects is too extreme. I’ve seen “death of the global

The USDCHF pushed to a new session high in the US morning trade, reaching up to test the falling 100-hour moving average, which currently sits at 0.79602. Sellers leaned against that level on the first touch — the first retest since the pair broke below the 100-hour MA on November 6 — and the price

German DAX futures -0.1% French CAC 40 futures -0.2% UK FTSE futures -0.1% It was tech shares that did the heavy lifting on Friday in bringing back up the mood in Wall Street. And that’s somewhat continuing today as well. S&P 500 futures are up 0.3% with Nasdaq futures up 0.6% but Dow futures are

There are so many Fed officials telling us that a cut isn’t coming in December. The odds are down to 39% and should fall further on this, which is coming from a Fed Governor. Still not clear how much data will be ready ahead of Dec 10 meeting Current policy still somewhat restrictive Balance of

This is one thing that is not capturing too much headlines yet but worth keeping tabs of. China’s foreign ministry is now out saying that Japan prime minister Takaichi’s remarks on the Taiwan issue have seriously damaged the political foundations between the two countries. For some context, she commented here on a possible military response

The USD is mostly higher – but modestly – to start the new trading day and the week. Looking at the changes vs the USD: EUR +0.15% JPY +0.16% GBP -0.15% CHF +0.15% CAD +0.04% AUD +0.21% NZD +0.14% ECB members were speaking today. ECB’s de Guindos said inflation is expected to continue converging toward

Prior month 10.7 New orders 15.9 versus 3.7 last month shipments 16.8 versus 14.4 last month. Employment 6.6 versus 6.2 last month. Average employee workweek 7.7 versus -4.1 last month. Prices paid 49.0 versus 52.4 last month. Prices received 24.0 versus 27.2 last month inventories 6.7 versus -1.0 last month. Delivery time 7.7 versus 3.9

Over the last two weeks, the S&P 500 has been stuck in a “neither fish nor fowl” phase: no outright panic, but with little fuel for further growth. Even the news of the end of the longest US government shutdown had little impact. Why has apathy set in among investors? The main factor is lingering

In the European session, we don’t have much on the agenda other than the Swiss Q3 GDP report and the final Italian CPI. None of the data is going to change anything for the respective central banks, so the market reaction will likely be fairly muted. In the American session, the main highlight is the

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain range, called a “band,” around a central reference rate,

It shows that even with the dip buying late on Friday and the more optimistic mood earlier today, things are still very much on edge. S&P 500 futures have now pared gains of around 0.6% earlier to be up just 0.1% now as tech shares ease. Of note, Nvidia is down 0.5% in pre-market with

European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn warned that the risk of inflation slowing too sharply should not be dismissed, urging caution as policymakers weigh whether another rate cut in December is warranted. In an interview with Helsingin Sanomat, Rehn said weaker energy prices, a firmer euro and moderating wage and services inflation could

2025 Eurozone GDP growth forecast seen at 1.3% (previously 0.9%) 2026 Eurozone GDP growth forecast seen at 1.2% (previously 1.4%) 2025 Eurozone inflation seen at 2.1%, 2026 at 1.9%, 2027 at 2.0% Besides the standard estimates above, the commission sees some optimism arising from France despite the political struggles this year. They estimate the French

The iFX EXPO Hong Kong 2025 was more than just another financial event, it marked a significant milestone in Foti Markets’ journey to expand its global presence and deliver greater value to the worldwide trading community. From October 26–28, 2025, the Foti Markets team actively engaged in high-level networking, knowledge sharing, and exploring cutting-edge fintech

BOJ should wait at least until March or April next year to raise interest rates BOJ should move cautiously on policy normalisation It would be premature to raise interest rates in December or January Excessive yen fall is undesirable, Japan should not rule out FX intervention in addressing such moves It comes as no surprise

Japanese economic contraction in Q3 2025 – Japan’s economy contracted less than expected in the third quarter, with GDP falling 0.4% quarter-on-quarter versus forecasts for a 0.6% decline. On an annualised basis, output shrank 1.8%, also better than the expected 2.5% drop, as a soft global backdrop and sluggish domestic conditions continued to weigh on

I’m comfortable with where we are but I accept that there is a load of uncertainty around. Necessitating meeting by meeting approach. I think we are in a good place as far as our monetary policy is concerned We’ve been hearing from ECB members these same comments over and over again. They are fine with

The report will very much be a lagging data point, all things considered. However, it’s at least a start in trying to piece back together the picture after the longest US government shutdown in history. As a reminder, this will be the report for the September month. As for the October month, don’t hold your

Reserve Bank of Australia board member Renée Fry-McKibbin has pushed back against claims that the central bank’s recent governance review urged policymakers to give inflation and unemployment equal weight. Writing in the Australian Financial Review, she said the commentary “mischaracterises” the review’s intent and attacks a recommendation the panel never made. Fry-McKibbin, who joined the

One can expect them to put up a facade to say that this would just be a regular meeting in catching up with “economic developments” and what not. But amid the constant political pressure put on the BOJ, this would be another move by Takaichi to want to press the central bank into not hiking

UK house sellers cut asking prices more sharply than usual in early November as uncertainty ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ budget kept buyers on the sidelines, according to new data from Rightmove. Average asking prices fell 1.8% in the four weeks to Nov. 8 — the steepest seasonal drop since 2012 — pushing prices 0.5%

At least 32 people were killed after a bridge collapsed at a copper and cobalt mine in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, officials said, with some reports placing the toll even higher. Info from Al Jazeera. The incident occurred Saturday at the Kalando mine in Lualaba province, where heavy rains had prompted authorities to

Underlying inflation rate remains below target, therefore we are maintaining accomodative monetary policy BoJ is pursuing an interest rate level that ensures a smooth landing Maintaining monetary policy too loose for too long carries risks from achieving the 2% target in a stable manner Full article here As a reminder, the BoJ left interest rates

Fundamental Overview The uncertainty about a December cut has been putting a lid on further stock market gains. The probability for a December cut is now a bit below 50%. It’s still basically a 50/50 chance, but we will likely need soft labour market or inflation data to get the Fed to cut at the

Eurostoxx flat Germany DAX +0.1% France CAC 40 -0.1% UK FTSE flat Spain IBEX -0.2% Italy FTSE MIB flat It’s mostly tech shares once again that are the ones moving, with S&P 500 futures now moving up 0.6% with Nasdaq futures up 0.9% on the day. As such, that is not leaving much to work

Headlines: Easy come, easy go Reminder: US non-farm payrolls for September will be released this week ECB’s Makhlouf: We are in a good place as far as our monetary policy is concerned ECB’s de Guindos: I expect inflation to converge towards the 2% target BoJ Ueda: Underlying inflation rate remains below target Japan prime minister

Fundamental Overview Silver eventually erased almost the entire weekly gain as the short squeeze came to an end. Fundamentally, nothing has changed although the probabilities for a December cut fell to just 40% in the final part of last week. The market participants continue to wait for the key US data ahead of the December

People’s Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate

Uncertainty has abated, but still a defining feature of our times FSR will focus on three big risks; first is about risk of financial market corrections There is a risk of abrupt shift in sentiment Fiscal challenge also a key vulnerability Banks may face deterioration of credit quality Banks resilience underpinned by profits, capital Adverse

Leading crypto Bitcoin is now net negative for 2025. Its fallen from above 125K at the beginning of October back under 94K as of about now. Meanwhile, ETH/USD is down from highs above 4.8K towatd 3K now. At least is still positive for the year. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic signalled caution about supporting another interest-rate cut at the December meeting, even though he backed the two reductions delivered earlier in the year. Info via Bloomberg. Speaking at an event in Seattle late on Friday, Bostic said he wants incoming data to dictate whether additional easing is appropriate, emphasising

Domestic sight deposits CHF 436.9 bn vs CHF 436.3 bn prior That’s a slight drop in Swiss sight deposits in the past week but nothing out of the ordinary with the levels still keeping with what we have seen in the weeks prior. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

The firm is forecasting the dollar index to drop all the way down to 94 in the first half of the year before rebounding back to around current levels at 99 by the end of 2026. That as they see slower global growth amid US tariffs, with the potential for a more K-shaped economy. In

Fundamental Overview Gold eventually erased almost the entire weekly gain as the short squeeze came to an end. Fundamentally, nothing has changed although the probabilities for a December cut fell to just 40% in the final part of last week. The market participants continue to wait for the key US data ahead of the December

President Donald Trump signalled on Sunday that his administration may be open to direct discussions with Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, even as Washington maintains military pressure in the Caribbean. Speaking to reporters in West Palm Beach before returning to Washington, Trump said, “We may be having some discussions with Maduro… They would like to talk,”

Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports (NODX) surged 22.2% in October from a year earlier, far exceeding expectations (7.5%) and marking a sharp acceleration from September’s revised 7.0% rise, according to data from Enterprise Singapore. outperformance was driven primarily by a jump in non-monetary gold shipments electronic products also posting solid gains. The strength was broad-based across

Japanese Economy Minister Kiuchi: no change to view after Q3 GDP data that the economy is gradually recovering will compile an economic stimulus plan swiftly The terrible data is here: Japan Q3 GDP -0.4% q/q (expected -0.6%). Preliminary reading. Japan’s economy contracted for the first time in six quarters — Earlier: Japan expected to unveil

Japan’s Financial Services Agency is weighing a major overhaul of cryptocurrency oversight that would classify digital assets as financial products subject to insider-trading rules, according to a report in the Asahi newspaper. The proposed framework would cover roughly 105 cryptocurrencies listed in Japan, including bitcoin and ethereum, and would require exchanges to provide clearer disclosures

This week will be packed with economic events and will also include the long-awaited release of September labor market data for the U.S. On Monday, the focus will be on inflation data from Canada while Tuesday, Australia will release the RBA monetary policy meeting minutes. Wednesday brings Australia’s wage price index q/q, the U.K.’s inflation

Japan’s economy contracted for the first time in six quarters, shrinking an annualised 1.8% in Q3 as U.S. tariffs hit exports and regulatory changes dampened housing investment. While the downturn complicates the Bank of Japan’s path toward further policy tightening, economists stressed the decline was milder than expected and likely temporary. The median forecast had

Japan is sending a senior Foreign Ministry official to China on Monday in an effort to stabilise relations after Beijing escalated its response to recent remarks by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on Taiwan, NHK reported. The envoy, Masaaki Kanai, will aim to ease tensions after China issued a travel advisory for Japan and warned Chinese

Economic growth in Japan for Q3 2025 is expected to be economic contraction according to the survey of analysts reported. This snapshot from the investingLive economic data calendar. The times in the left-most column are GMT. The numbers in the right-most column are the ‘prior’ (previous month/quarter as the case may be) result. The number

Japan’s new government is preparing a stimulus package worth more than ¥17 trillion (about $110 billion), according to reporting by the Nikkei on Sunday. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama disclosed the scale of the plan after meeting Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who took office in October and has pushed for an aggressive response to rising living

Japan Industrial Production September 2025, final : +2.6% m/m expected 2.2%, prior -1.5% +3.8% y/y prior +3.4% Capacity Utilization +2.5% m/m prior -2.3% Some better news will be welcome in Japan after the earlier GDP data was poor, links to these here: investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Bitcoin loses all its 2025 gains This article

There aren’t any major expiries to take note of on the day, with the full list seen below. The resurgence in risk trades in US trading on Friday remains the key theme to take note of. That as risk sentiment continues to be the number one driver in dictating price action since last week. A

Sleijpen warns of the possibility of stablecoins being “systemically relevant at a certain point” if they are to continue growing at the same pace as they have been so far this year. This especially those that are directly linked to US assets, in particular many of those which are supposedly backed by US Treasuries. He

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent spoke with Fox News on Sunday. rare earths deal with China will “hopefully” be done by Thanksgiving confident China will honor agreements on rare earths Is this the best he can do? Hoping and expressing confidence. We all know it’s a clown show right now. The hope for investors is

Samsung Electronics has sharply raised prices for several key memory chips, lifting contract rates by 30% to as much as 60% compared with September amid an increasingly acute global shortage driven by the rapid buildout of AI data centres, according to people familiar with the increases. The move underscores how demand for AI-related hardware continues

I think this was originally in the Financial Times, but an ungated version is at Business Times. In summary: China may be buying far more gold than its official data suggests, with analysts estimating actual purchases could exceed reported figures by a factor of ten as Beijing intensifies efforts to reduce reliance on the US

China’s growth outlook is deteriorating as fading export momentum exposes deeper structural weaknesses in the economy, Nomura warned at a recent investment forum. The bank’s chief China economist said the combination of a prolonged property downturn, soft consumer spending and shrinking fixed-asset investment leaves the economy increasingly reliant on policy support. Nomura now expects China’s

China has introduced new rules to curb the export of “zero-mileage” vehicles — brand-new cars registered as used — in a bid to stop automakers overstating sales and claiming tax benefits tied to inflated export volumes. The practice has drawn scrutiny as China becomes the world’s largest car exporter, with domestic manufacturers grappling with intense

As is usual for a Monday morning, market liquidity is very thin until it improves as more Asian centres come online … prices are liable to swing around, so take care out there. Indicative rates only, little changed from late Friday EUR/USD 1.1621 USD/JPY 154.55 GBP/USD 1.3171 USD/CHF 0.7941 USD/CAD 1.4022 AUD/USD 0.6532 NZD/USD 0.5678

New Zealand food prices fell 0.3 percent in October compares with -0.4% in September +4.7% y/y — The New Zealand Food Price Index (FPI) is a measure of the changes in the average price of food items sold in New Zealand. calculated and published monthly by Statistics New Zealand FPI makes up around 19% of

President Donald Trump has continued to make large fixed-income purchases this autumn, adding at least $82 million in municipal and corporate bonds, according to newly released ethics disclosures. Info via a Bloomberg report. The filings, posted by the US Office of Government Ethics after the government shutdown ended, show Trump bought debt issued by major

BusinessNZ New Zealand Performance of Services Index for October 2025 improves to 48.7 from September’s 48.3 this is the 20th month in a row in contraction PSI’s sub-components all below the breakeven 50 mark all below their long-term averages new orders index 49.5, but is farthest below its long-term average activity/sales index rose to 48.9,

Mon: Canadian CPI (Oct), US NY Fed Manufacturing (Nov) Tue: RBA Minutes (Nov), NBH Announcement; New Zealand PPI (Q3), Japanese Trade Balance (Oct) Wed: FOMC Minutes (Oct), Bank of Indonesia Announcement; UK CPI (Oct), EZ Final HICP (Oct) Thu: PBoC LPR; German Producer Prices (Oct), EZ Construction Output (Sep), Canadian Producer Prices (Oct), New Zealand

Fresh ethics filings show the trading violations that pushed Adriana Kugler out of the Fed were far broader and closer to key policy dates than previously known. The Wall Street Journal (gated) with the very dirty story. In summary: Former Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler is facing intensified scrutiny after newly released ethics filings revealed

Logan has said this before but it’s notable that she will be a voter next year. Says she would need to see convincing evidence of inflation coming down or jobs market worsening to support December rate cut Other regional voters are: Hammack (hawk) Kashkari (not a hawk but not as dovish as before) Paulson (said

Berkshire Hathaway trims stake in Apple, buys Google – filing Fed’s Miran: Recent data has made the case for a rate cut even stronger The September non-farm payrolls report will finally be released on Nov 20 Fed’s Logan says she would have preferred to hold rates steady in Oct Fed’s Schmid: Further rate cuts won’t

First of all, there has been virtually no economic data. Secondly, this guy is a broken record. It’s safe to say he’s going to be voting for 50 bps cuts until his term is done. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

The Trump administration must be seeing polling numbers around inflation hurting. They’re playing some defense lately and now the administration is lowering or removing tariffs on: Coffee Bananas Tomatoes Beef The first two make sense because they don’t grow in the US and the third one is seasonal but the fourth one is puzzling. It’s

Oil has been batted around this week as the market tries to get a sense of what’s happening to Russian barrels and with the overall risk mood in markets. It was beaten up on Wednesday in a relatively calm day and then it rebounded yesterday and today despite the risk rout. Some of that suggests