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Weekly update on interest rates expectations

Rate cuts by year-end

Fed: 50 bps (93% probability of no change at the next meeting)
ECB: 42 bps (78% probability of no change at the next meeting)
BoE: 50 bps (62% probability of rate cut at the next meeting)
BoC: 55 bps (60% probability of rate cut at the next meeting)
RBNZ: 40 bps (95% probability of no change at the next meeting)
SNB: 21 bps (50% probability of no change at the next meeting)

Rate hikes by year-end

BoJ: 20 bps (58% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)RBA: 8 bps (73% probability of no change at the next meeting)

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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